Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

35.9%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-01 14:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?	No		-7	-$1	92¢	$-6	-$5	04-29 01:28
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No		-89	-$18	2¢	$-2	+$16	09-24 16:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	15	$93	99	99	-0	open	—	07-06 18:38
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	7	$89	98	187	-89	open	—	09-24 16:08
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	5	$79	36	133	-97	open	—	09-18 02:05
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$79	106	106	+0	open	—	10-01 02:04
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	7	$75	84	84	+0	open	—	09-20 04:45
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$65	90	90	+0	open	—	07-01 12:55
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	7	$63	82	96	-14	Yes	-$9	04-24 00:23
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	11	$63	101	101	+0	open	—	07-03 03:22
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$61	55	44	+11	No	+$11	03-06 00:51
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$59	65	33	+33	No	+$32	03-27 04:50
tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	4	$55	92	54	+38	Yes	-$1	09-16 15:01
megaeth fdv above 1b one day after launch	6	$55	103	103	+0	Yes	-$16	04-24 01:17
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	5	$53	52	52	+0	Yes	$0	04-02 13:12
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	12	$52	69	69	+0	open	—	10-01 14:15
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	10	$49	58	60	-2	Yes	-$3	05-01 02:25
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$48	66	43	+24	No	+$13	03-22 19:32
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	5	$48	90	13	+76	Yes	-$42	02-27 15:23
Space FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$47	74	74	+0	No	-$2	04-15 01:31
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	7	$41	37	37	+0	open	—	06-08 07:28
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?	3	$30	27	27	+0	No	+$0	03-01 09:59
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	9	$29	47	47	+0	open	—	07-16 02:34
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	3	$29	35	35	+0	open	—	09-25 00:13
ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	4	$27	48	44	+5	open	—	07-16 15:22
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$25	46	46	+0	open	—	09-30 22:01
hyperbeat fdv above 25m one day after launch	2	$23	27	14	+14	open	—	06-16 14:03
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	07-12 06:52
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$18	46	43	+4	Yes	-$2	02-23 12:28
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?	4	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	06-27 17:16
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?	5	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	08-08 14:39
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$11	22	22	+0	open	—	05-07 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 14:15:14	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0xc94656…
10-01 10:44:44	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x96e998…
10-01 02:04:00	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0xc764d3…
10-01 00:51:30	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x588777…
09-30 22:01:08	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x33bf0d…
09-30 19:00:02	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	33¢	$5	0x2b75d7…
09-30 15:25:00	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0xf15e5d…
09-29 04:27:23	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xedc84b…
09-29 01:26:03	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0x0239ec…
09-28 04:05:11	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x0e4c89…
09-25 00:13:54	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	No	SELL	35	41¢	$14	0x739bdd…
09-24 23:12:15	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x854026…
09-24 16:08:29	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	39	26¢	$10	0x12bdb6…
09-23 06:08:08	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	39	34¢	$13	0x56cc60…
09-22 06:28:58	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	No	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xb4da52…
09-21 22:08:46	Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?	No	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x15903e…
09-21 15:08:27	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	75	36¢	$27	0x31d15c…
09-20 05:43:25	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	61	40¢	$25	0x316e14…
09-20 04:45:39	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	45¢	$23	0xb587d2…
09-20 01:39:55	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x1ba5e2…
09-19 01:18:48	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	46¢	$11	0x7a00be…
09-19 00:26:54	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xa5c582…
09-18 02:05:49	Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	36	52¢	$19	0xce88c5…
09-17 18:00:34	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x872c1b…
09-16 20:09:37	Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0xc4cb4c…
09-16 18:06:16	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x23c365…
09-16 16:41:41	Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xf8c4b5…
09-16 15:01:38	Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch	No	SELL	38	60¢	$22	0xd0949d…
09-16 08:41:18	Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch	No	BUY	75	26¢	$20	0x1b5bf1…
09-16 06:31:37	Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	70	51¢	$36	0x4acdc8…
08-20 07:56:21	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x363b5f…
08-20 00:22:54	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x55dce0…
08-09 15:58:34	MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x961ed0…
08-08 21:16:06	MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x26028c…
08-08 14:39:24	Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x8726b7…
08-08 14:39:24	Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x004222…
08-07 03:03:46	Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x4c5fe9…
07-19 14:28:49	Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x7fdf53…
07-18 14:01:55	Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x3a69d6…
07-16 15:22:40	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x0f3aff…
07-16 02:34:08	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x2b8a5b…
07-14 20:43:40	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x1f60d4…
07-13 03:22:08	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x47231e…
07-12 18:18:17	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x1297c5…
07-12 15:16:08	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xee2c9d…
07-12 06:52:32	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x4ce5aa…
07-09 19:39:13	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xfa9b22…
07-09 11:29:38	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x165ba1…
07-09 11:10:31	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x4361fe…
07-09 10:43:08	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4f2d63…
07-09 07:10:44	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x74750f…
07-08 18:59:20	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0xe94c0c…
07-08 10:15:46	Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7404dc…
07-08 06:58:58	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x18e206…
07-08 06:48:37	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0xed80ba…
07-08 00:23:58	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x5db475…
07-06 18:38:28	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xfa2dec…
07-06 10:17:28	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x8b10b8…
07-04 13:19:41	Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x99422e…
07-03 03:22:02	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0x29ed4f…
07-02 04:34:35	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xb28bcc…
07-01 12:55:08	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0x92bba8…
07-01 10:10:37	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x608b79…
07-01 04:47:58	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xd44ac3…
07-01 03:00:58	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x4b5a24…
07-01 00:45:32	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x4b6337…
06-30 20:43:26	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x3dcc63…
06-30 11:36:46	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0xb20276…
06-28 09:28:49	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x41c986…
06-27 20:35:07	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x1875a0…
06-27 18:03:41	Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xa25464…
06-27 17:16:19	MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0xa4d5bc…
06-27 17:16:02	MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x9027a3…
06-26 20:09:28	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x977fa8…
06-26 18:53:25	MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x309ed1…
06-26 17:04:32	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x2c5c34…
06-26 16:06:47	MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xfe1378…
06-26 12:59:49	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	SELL	14	54¢	$8	0x794b8d…
06-26 09:49:04	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0x9563c8…
06-25 19:49:35	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x0a1076…
06-25 08:45:23	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	SELL	16	54¢	$8	0xd91c5f…
06-24 05:01:13	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x6ac63e…
06-23 17:10:16	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xb1bc5d…
06-22 11:10:46	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x5dfee7…
06-18 18:50:17	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x135cee…
06-17 17:32:47	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	No	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x7f39da…
06-16 14:42:52	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xc86143…
06-16 14:03:13	hyperbeat fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	14	84¢	$11	0x66c95c…
06-13 01:58:03	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	No	BUY	16	52¢	$9	0x3df4ce…
06-12 06:11:33	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x576d74…
06-12 02:10:16	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xa66f4e…
06-10 14:25:54	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x774ba0…
06-10 14:13:58	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x59d342…
06-10 14:13:58	hyperbeat fdv above 10m one day after launch	No	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0x22162c…
06-09 12:04:49	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	SELL	33	29¢	$9	0x3d56e0…
06-08 10:22:48	hyperbeat fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0xdeb2ca…
06-08 07:52:31	ethereal fdv above 25m one day after launch	No	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0x17aeed…
06-08 07:28:01	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0xa3d086…
06-08 07:27:54	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	35	36¢	$12	0x34dc65…
06-07 23:33:04	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd984e1…