Realized P&L
+$266
Unrealized P&L
+$123
Hit rate
79.6%
Resolved
199
Trades
609
lifetime
Volume
$83.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$137
Open exposure
$2.01K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-15 19:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Politics
59% 75% -$301
Other
25% 79% +$373
Crypto
14% 92% +$155
Sports
2% 83% +$39
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -710 -$703 83¢ $-589 +$114 09-29 22:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -333 -$313 94¢ $-311 +$2 10-05 18:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -350 -$307 86¢ $-300 +$7 10-01 12:49
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -250 -$240 97¢ $-242 -$2 09-20 19:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +220 $150 78¢ $173 +$23 10-06 18:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -160 -$114 76¢ $-122 -$9 10-01 18:15
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -120 -$109 99¢ $-118 -$10 05-28 15:29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -100 -$68 81¢ $-81 -$13 10-01 14:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +75 $59 94¢ $70 +$11 10-15 19:20