Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
58
Trades
79
lifetime
Volume
$437
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$96
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 11-06 03:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
47% 81% -$6
Other
46% 59% +$10
Sports
7% 80% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +46 $20 46¢ $21 +$1 10-26 16:51
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $11 100¢ $12 +$1 11-04 15:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 10-26 16:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-28 03:29
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +16 $10 62¢ $10 $0 11-06 03:26
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 10-26 16:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 07-02 05:11
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 11-05 20:56
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-06 03:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 10-26 16:50