(anonymous) 0xba6fdc…aa0442
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.89K
Unrealized P&L
+$163
Hit rate
57.5%
Resolved
35
Trades
1,369
lifetime
Volume
$84.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$72.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
57% — —
Sports
29% 65% +$2,893
Politics
13% 0% -$1
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +25,028 $22,758 81¢ $20.2K -$2,560 09-20 12:36
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +12,555 $12,020 96¢ $12.1K +$89 09-19 23:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +7,689 $7,399 96¢ $7.4K -$29 09-20 03:12
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +7,731 $7,393 94¢ $7.3K -$130 09-20 17:03
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +25,028 $2,343 19¢ $4.8K +$2,488 09-20 04:04
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +4,319 $4,167 96¢ $4.2K -$14 09-21 05:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +2,509 $2,243 99¢ $2.5K +$239 09-10 02:23
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,297 $2,159 94¢ $2.2K +$0 10-26 20:25
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +1,740 $1,652 96¢ $1.7K +$16 10-25 16:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,364 $1,165 85¢ $1.2K -$1 10-25 23:39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,249 $1,132 91¢ $1.1K -$1 10-26 08:59
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,000 $963 96¢ $964 +$1 10-26 15:51
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +968 $935 98¢ $952 +$17 08-27 17:36
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +750 $727 97¢ $726 $0 10-26 05:12
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +679 $656 97¢ $660 +$4 10-22 03:00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +717 $652 90¢ $649 -$4 10-25 18:58
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +735 $643 86¢ $629 -$14 10-21 19:38
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +692 $616 90¢ $620 +$4 09-16 03:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +623 $592 96¢ $598 +$6 09-02 08:59
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +7,731 $348 6¢ $468 +$119 09-20 04:18
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +12,555 $547 4¢ $446 -$101 09-20 11:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7,689 $299 4¢ $319 +$20 09-20 07:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +275 $256 94¢ $260 +$4 08-27 08:45
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,525 $230 15¢ $223 -$7 10-26 13:56
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +4,319 $162 4¢ $166 +$5 09-18 15:34
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,254 $131 6¢ $135 +$5 10-26 13:13
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,123 $101 10¢ $107 +$6 10-26 14:30
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +735 $100 15¢ $107 +$6 10-22 23:45
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +872 $83 9¢ $81 -$2 10-25 02:12
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +692 $76 10¢ $72 -$4 09-21 03:55