Liquid-Earplug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$128

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$16.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$867

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-05 10:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$121

Crypto

18% 93% -$8

Politics

14% 93% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+500	$481	98¢	$492	+$11	10-15 10:19
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	-100	-$93	99¢	$-99	-$6	05-07 09:18
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+80	$79	100¢	$80	+$0	10-31 06:45
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-100	-$59	68¢	$-68	-$8	05-18 12:24
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+50	$50	99¢	$50	$0	10-31 06:49
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	+31	$31	100¢	$31	+$0	10-31 06:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+26	$24	97¢	$25	+$1	10-26 08:40
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+24	$23	97¢	$23	+$0	10-31 06:48
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$3	100¢	$0	+$3	09-20 12:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 29?	1	$998	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$2	07-29 11:45
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	1	$875	876	0	+876	Yes	+$1	07-01 12:10
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$863	869	0	+869	Yes	+$6	05-11 02:40
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$794	400	400	+0	open	—	09-20 12:40
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 16?	2	$580	581	0	+581	No	+$1	05-16 01:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$506	515	0	+515	No	+$10	04-11 00:57
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 461	1	$500	500	0	+500	No	+$1	01-10 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 1?	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	07-31 14:12
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 17?	2	$486	490	0	+490	Yes	+$5	07-17 07:18
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$481	500	0	+500	open	—	10-15 10:19
xrp above 2pt4 on february 2	1	$375	375	0	+375	No	+$0	02-02 03:02
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on May 30?	1	$347	351	0	+351	Yes	+$4	05-30 07:45
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$318	322	0	+322	No	+$4	06-08 07:48
will bitcoin reach 74k on april 9	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	04-10 03:40
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$297	301	0	+301	No	+$4	03-29 06:07
will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	2	$296	300	0	+300	No	+$4	01-11 00:55
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	1	$289	290	0	+290	No	+$1	09-28 01:39
will bitcoin dip to 70k on april 9	1	$252	253	0	+253	No	+$0	04-10 03:40
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	10	$228	153	153	+0	No	+$2	04-10 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?	2	$222	112	112	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 15:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	3	$209	110	110	+0	Yes	+$11	04-01 07:33
will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	2	$208	134	75	+59	No	+$1	04-01 02:56
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on August 1?	1	$206	206	0	+206	No	+$0	07-31 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 1?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-01 12:03
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 1?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-31 14:14
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	04-01 09:14
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$198	207	0	+207	No	+$9	05-30 07:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$189	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	04-06 13:35
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 17?	3	$188	189	0	+189	Yes	+$1	07-17 07:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	1	$188	200	0	+200	No	+$12	05-16 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 10:23:12	Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb9b59a…
11-05 10:22:31	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa0ed80…
11-05 10:22:19	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x28bcd6…
11-05 10:22:09	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0xdbe1f8…
10-31 06:49:19	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9ff4f4…
10-31 06:48:43	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x9a583d…
10-31 06:45:28	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x18efd4…
10-31 06:44:22	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x9fbb15…
10-26 08:40:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0xa6888a…
10-26 08:39:03	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x4e1871…
10-26 08:36:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in November?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5a0f78…
10-26 08:35:44	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x266519…
10-26 08:35:44	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x0f8cf0…
10-26 08:31:06	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x874dbd…
10-26 08:22:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x316c9e…
10-26 08:09:12	Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x17b76a…
10-23 02:46:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x427e51…
10-23 02:39:53	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x033d4c…
10-23 02:39:27	Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xbb060b…
10-23 02:23:56	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x662f97…
10-22 13:03:17	Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x4a5102…
10-15 10:20:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x245586…
10-15 10:19:47	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x3fab6d…
10-15 10:10:53	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x520e8b…
10-02 06:42:17	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x1b6700…
09-28 01:39:15	Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0x1141e0…
09-20 12:40:25	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	143	100¢	$142	0x3ada41…
09-19 20:01:20	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8185ea…
09-19 09:52:01	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x31498a…
09-19 02:59:16	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	138	98¢	$135	0x32a6e0…
09-19 02:58:28	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x01c5bf…
09-17 10:20:28	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x04e007…
09-17 10:18:45	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa26fc1…
09-17 10:10:00	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x7894ae…
09-17 10:03:46	Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in September?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x00a42a…
09-17 08:33:12	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$113	0x9d83e1…
09-16 15:09:42	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x382bd7…
09-16 14:49:35	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x5e8847…
09-04 09:11:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x273501…
09-04 07:50:12	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x7ae275…
08-29 09:32:21	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	99¢	$395	0x116e80…
08-29 09:31:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$286	0x13bb0c…
08-29 09:18:58	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x895d3b…
08-06 12:41:29	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x2cedb5…
08-06 11:56:00	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x30e64e…
08-06 11:02:15	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x108ae0…
07-31 14:16:11	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on August 1?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3d3944…
07-31 14:14:48	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on August 1?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x59141b…
07-31 14:14:23	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x786fb7…
07-31 14:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x5b0826…
07-31 14:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 1?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0xfca509…
07-31 14:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf98b21…
07-31 13:59:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on August 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x80436c…
07-31 13:53:45	will mojtaba khamenei leave iran by august 31 20260720003950635	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xbbe99c…
07-29 11:46:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xe02772…
07-29 11:45:26	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x7d7027…
07-29 09:57:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 30?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xe202e5…
07-17 07:39:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 17?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x201160…
07-17 07:18:00	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	190	99¢	$189	0x574caf…
07-17 07:15:42	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x7e50fc…
07-17 07:13:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5677b7…
07-17 07:12:48	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 17?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xb70d7e…
07-17 07:12:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8fde49…
07-17 07:11:37	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 17?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x948ec1…
07-17 07:11:10	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xe54934…
07-17 03:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0fcda1…
07-17 03:37:40	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on July 17?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$149	0xccaa2e…
07-17 03:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x97b5ab…
07-17 03:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x68ce3e…
07-17 03:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 17?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$64	0xd073db…
07-01 12:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	876	100¢	$875	0xbba216…
07-01 12:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 1?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xc84a47…
06-08 07:48:46	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	322	99¢	$318	0xcba3d3…
06-03 15:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	SELL	112	99¢	$111	0x3c4b03…
06-03 14:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x41a30a…
06-03 10:07:53	Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe0b088…
06-03 10:02:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x1812f3…
06-03 09:57:42	will wti dip to 70 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xab96e0…
06-03 09:53:51	Will there be 14 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x2245dd…
05-30 07:45:02	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	351	99¢	$347	0x550f36…
05-30 07:41:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xeb467a…
05-30 07:37:34	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$198	0x439bf2…
05-18 12:24:15	Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x5ec298…
05-18 12:21:35	Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$98	0x995dd2…
05-16 01:38:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 16?	No	BUY	518	100¢	$517	0x1288d6…
05-16 01:37:46	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 16?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x4ef0f9…
05-16 01:28:29	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in May 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x43f787…
05-16 01:27:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x801a71…
05-11 02:40:44	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	869	99¢	$863	0x6f09d7…
05-07 09:25:15	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x3663d6…
05-07 09:18:43	Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x842269…
04-11 00:57:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	412	98¢	$406	0x30133d…
04-10 17:15:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	122	75¢	$92	0xed504e…
04-10 16:17:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	30	75¢	$23	0x31482f…
04-10 11:54:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x495d56…
04-10 11:46:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	115	74¢	$85	0xce8685…
04-10 11:36:01	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x77d17b…
04-10 11:17:49	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xfc2c96…
04-10 11:17:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3d8570…
04-10 10:31:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xa94103…