Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
6,060 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$32.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$515
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 10-26 22:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Crypto
70% 54% -$1,330
Other
26% 60% -$367
Sports
3% 41% -$56
Tech
1% 50% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +271 $204 72¢ $196 -$8 10-26 22:42
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +310 $174 54¢ $166 -$8 09-22 23:22
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +100 $88 86¢ $86 -$2 09-29 03:56
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +133 $31 28¢ $37 +$6 09-18 21:52
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +147 $24 11¢ $16 -$8 09-07 04:13
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +153 $11 6¢ $9 -$2 09-18 21:51
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +16 $5 13¢ $2 -$3 05-21 07:38
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +22 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 06-02 23:39
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +9 $5 3¢ $0 -$5 05-21 07:40
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +7 $5 3¢ $0 -$5 05-21 09:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-21 09:49