Realized P&L
-$363
Unrealized P&L
-$114
Hit rate
61.1%
Resolved
360
Trades
1,996
lifetime
Volume
$44.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$983
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 06-08 16:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
66% 66% -$771
Other
29% 68% +$282
Sports
2% 78% +$43
Tech
1% 71% +$53
Crypto
1% 83% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$25
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-08).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -551 -$479 94¢ $-521 -$41 06-08 16:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -424 -$301 85¢ $-360 -$59 06-08 16:19
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No -45 -$36 98¢ $-44 -$8 06-08 16:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -18 -$15 97¢ $-17 -$2 06-08 16:22
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -14 -$10 96¢ $-13 -$3 06-08 16:23
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -8 -$7 98¢ $-7 $0 06-08 16:23
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -7 -$6 97¢ $-7 $0 06-08 16:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -33 -$6 18¢ $-6 $0 06-08 16:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 -$4 82¢ $-4 $0 06-08 16:24
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No -3 -$3 92¢ $-3 $0 06-08 16:24
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -9 -$1 9¢ $-1 +$1 06-08 16:13