Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

199

Trades

2,162

lifetime

Volume

$84.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$688

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 10:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Politics

56% 70% +$329

Other

42% 68% +$499

Crypto

2% 88% +$210

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	-400	-$384	97¢	$-389	-$5	11-04 16:03
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	-200	-$182	94¢	$-187	-$5	11-04 13:38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-100	-$95	97¢	$-97	-$2	11-04 11:02
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-400	-$12	4¢	$-14	-$2	11-04 11:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	275	$10.4K	10,190	10,026	+164	Yes	+$603	02-28 19:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	184	$4.1K	9,170	8,604	+566	Yes	-$768	02-28 19:51
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	93	$3.9K	9,040	5,245	+3,796	Yes	-$610	01-03 09:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	91	$3.9K	2,390	2,232	+159	Yes	-$36	04-06 11:34
another us government shutdown by february 14	36	$2.4K	1,650	1,524	+126	No	+$52	02-13 07:31
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	34	$2.2K	1,493	1,393	+100	No	+$109	03-26 15:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	66	$1.9K	2,335	2,321	+14	No	-$176	04-22 05:15
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	64	$1.6K	1,676	1,418	+257	Yes	-$241	01-10 15:53
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	15	$1.5K	900	1,000	-100	No	+$67	03-29 02:05
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	48	$1.2K	1,566	1,362	+204	Yes	-$62	01-10 15:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	21	$1.2K	1,156	1,006	+150	Yes	+$88	04-06 15:10
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	34	$1.2K	2,100	2,241	-141	Yes	-$2	03-31 08:32
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	17	$1.1K	900	900	+0	No	+$23	03-22 19:57
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	18	$1.1K	714	568	+146	No	+$75	01-16 15:14
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	21	$1.0K	698	750	-51	No	-$1	01-09 12:29
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	24	$1.0K	760	614	+146	Yes	-$98	04-06 11:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	16	$966	611	400	+211	Yes	+$7	02-11 09:43
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	26	$832	500	500	+0	Yes	+$38	03-26 12:28
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	33	$760	1,137	978	+159	No	+$53	02-11 04:03
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	6	$732	443	443	+0	open	—	11-04 08:54
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	18	$702	649	449	+200	Yes	-$6	01-10 15:38
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	16	$644	1,239	300	+939	No	-$164	01-03 18:39
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	8	$637	655	376	+279	Yes	-$264	11-04 00:53
nothing ever happens khamenei	16	$625	440	440	+0	No	-$33	02-11 06:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$623	500	200	+300	No	+$50	03-28 16:42
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	1	$614	636	0	+636	No	+$22	07-31 04:49
over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	18	$583	513	513	+0	No	+$7	01-10 12:36
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	9	$581	350	350	+0	Yes	+$83	03-22 17:02
iran leadership change by march 31	6	$579	400	300	+100	No	+$91	03-26 16:01
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	20	$576	430	273	+156	No	+$106	03-29 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 10:05:37	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xc52984…
11-04 16:03:22	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	400	96¢	$384	0x68642f…
11-04 13:38:57	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0x942ddb…
11-04 11:20:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0x9c11fa…
11-04 11:12:18	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	94	81¢	$76	0x5f0063…
11-04 11:05:58	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	400	3¢	$12	0x764574…
11-04 11:04:55	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	29	21¢	$6	0x2ed617…
11-04 11:04:45	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	55	21¢	$12	0x4dfd19…
11-04 11:04:19	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x8ec308…
11-04 11:04:18	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0xab0e7d…
11-04 11:03:25	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x97f144…
11-04 11:02:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xdf1a0a…
11-04 11:01:52	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x70aa1a…
11-04 11:01:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0xeaaefc…
11-04 11:01:21	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x3bc4a3…
11-04 11:01:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x125512…
11-04 08:54:43	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	443	85¢	$376	0x38ddd6…
11-04 03:46:24	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	98	2¢	$2	0x44e40a…
11-04 03:44:16	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xdeb885…
11-04 02:59:37	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xd305c7…
11-04 02:59:31	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x8bc51c…
11-04 02:59:30	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x224f60…
11-04 02:54:22	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x1d7b7a…
11-04 02:54:16	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	77	81¢	$62	0xfa3ef1…
11-04 01:52:45	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0xe54589…
11-04 01:52:45	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	36	68¢	$24	0x9b85cc…
11-04 01:52:45	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	198	68¢	$135	0x4376dc…
11-04 01:52:45	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	36	68¢	$24	0x24b6d0…
11-04 01:52:34	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x60f79c…
11-04 00:53:18	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	221	41¢	$91	0x32c80f…
11-04 00:05:30	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xf19298…
11-04 00:05:30	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0xcf86f1…
11-04 00:05:30	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x8d13c7…
11-04 00:05:30	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	71	62¢	$44	0x350369…
11-04 00:04:52	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	34	40¢	$14	0x361626…
11-04 00:00:39	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	66	40¢	$26	0xd235a1…
11-03 23:33:42	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	175	83¢	$145	0x88a58d…
11-03 23:32:54	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xc7af39…
11-03 20:54:12	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	164	86¢	$141	0x52f1f7…
11-03 20:52:31	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x0840f3…
11-03 20:44:12	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x20dc11…
11-03 20:41:49	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x545d3f…
11-03 20:15:54	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	125	68¢	$85	0x738ca5…
11-03 20:13:34	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x1d55af…
11-03 19:48:45	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x6d1b80…
11-03 19:13:36	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x875b79…
11-03 18:53:15	Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0xad459a…
11-03 18:50:40	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0xe73fe7…
11-03 18:31:06	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x381a7f…
11-03 18:29:28	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0xac60c9…
11-03 18:21:06	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xfe29f5…
11-03 18:15:57	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$272	0xc7e2d4…
11-03 18:12:00	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x5ecf6e…
11-03 17:53:01	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0xbf1348…
11-03 17:53:01	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x98a791…
11-03 17:04:09	Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x36acd1…
11-03 16:50:46	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x598b53…
11-03 16:44:42	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	200	88¢	$177	0x8b91a8…
11-03 16:07:13	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xebbdc1…
11-03 16:07:12	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xef0a81…
11-03 16:07:12	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x8ad366…
11-03 15:58:40	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	80¢	$98	0x3a4b6d…
11-03 15:54:30	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	80¢	$62	0x03da59…
11-03 15:31:06	Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xd616f2…
11-03 13:53:28	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0x79bfc8…
11-03 13:24:45	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xdf9948…
11-03 12:56:49	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xdf9194…
11-03 12:31:12	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	240	87¢	$209	0xb1aa0e…
11-03 12:31:10	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xec67c2…
11-03 12:15:25	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0xe03caf…
07-31 23:04:03	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xa9f79d…
07-31 04:49:50	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	636	97¢	$614	0x93e1e3…
07-30 10:53:06	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0968ae…
07-30 08:47:20	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x041710…
07-30 06:59:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x34f19c…
07-30 05:28:00	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x3f4de1…
07-30 02:47:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	300	74¢	$222	0x4d88eb…
07-29 15:55:53	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	79¢	$21	0xd4bc81…
07-29 11:24:45	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	79¢	$54	0x4adef9…
07-06 09:47:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x896165…
07-06 09:46:41	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xb83e95…
07-06 09:46:20	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x44f350…
07-06 09:46:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x8bb3a1…
06-16 09:06:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x85d450…
06-10 14:21:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	270	26¢	$71	0x85f676…
06-10 13:07:55	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$7	0x13b11b…
06-10 12:59:45	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xdfe6f6…
05-28 16:15:11	Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	179	9¢	$16	0xe67001…
05-19 20:27:38	Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	310	19¢	$60	0xb28f07…
05-13 14:19:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0xc3a4c8…
05-13 14:16:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xf5a0be…
04-24 08:47:14	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	30¢	$17	0xd1bcbb…
04-24 08:46:48	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0x53d439…
04-22 05:15:18	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0x3fece0…
04-07 10:29:37	cs2 b8 ice 2026 04 07 game2	Inner Circle Esports	SELL	196	28¢	$55	0xfd8bea…
04-07 10:10:49	cs2 b8 ice 2026 04 07 game2	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x99c9aa…
04-06 19:41:29	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0x5e9622…
04-06 15:10:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	300	75¢	$225	0x8a679c…
04-06 14:02:13	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1aa364…
04-06 11:34:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	400	96¢	$384	0x958c8c…