Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
954
lifetime
Volume
$2.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$99
8 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 07-22 18:07
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
73%
Politics
15%
Sports
13%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +226 $39 23¢ $52 +$13 07-16 22:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +34 $11 34¢ $11 +$1 07-16 02:56
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +17 $7 60¢ $10 +$4 07-18 09:24
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +21 $12 36¢ $7 $-4 07-11 18:49
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +8 $6 86¢ $6 +$0 07-10 15:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +25 $6 24¢ $6 +$0 07-03 09:02
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $4 22¢ $3 $-1 07-14 11:00
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +8 $3 32¢ $3 $-0 07-10 15:41