Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
154
lifetime
Volume
$356
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$57
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-09 17:34
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58%
Politics
27%
Sports
11%
Tech
3%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +8 $6 88¢ $7 +$1 06-07 21:32
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +10 $6 64¢ $6 +$1 06-03 11:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $6 82¢ $6 +$0 06-08 09:13
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +7 $5 93¢ $6 +$1 06-08 12:20
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +10 $4 54¢ $5 +$1 06-04 14:24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $-1 06-03 18:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -5 $-5 90¢ $-5 +$0 06-07 18:45
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 $-0 06-05 09:19
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +29 $3 10¢ $3 $-0 06-05 04:22
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 $-0 06-02 21:30
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +30 $3 $2 $-1 06-02 20:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +4 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 06-03 20:27
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-09 01:56
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? Yes +102 $1 $1 +$0 06-08 08:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 $-0 06-02 02:23
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Yes +111 $1 $1 $-0 06-05 15:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +42 $1 $1 $-0 05-31 06:42
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,200 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +25 $1 $1 $-0 06-04 10:46