Realized P&L (7d)
-$119
Unrealized P&L
-$1.64K
Hit rate
3.6%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
29
1,285 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.38K
$21.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$8.26K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 11-11 10:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
50% 34% -$843
Politics
47% 38% +$2
Sports
4% 41% -$79
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,738 $2,807 65¢ $2.4K -$372 11-05 19:02
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2,150 $1,460 66¢ $1.4K -$51 11-08 06:05
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +840 $651 66¢ $556 -$94 11-11 09:45
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? Yes +1,322 $726 36¢ $469 -$257 10-26 09:42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +466 $436 99¢ $460 +$24 11-06 12:29
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +656 $518 66¢ $430 -$88 11-04 13:52
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +1,128 $655 36¢ $400 -$255 10-26 09:42
Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No — +417 $363 95¢ $396 +$33 11-05 20:49
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? Yes +380 $292 75¢ $285 -$7 10-25 07:02
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? Yes +300 $236 82¢ $248 +$11 10-19 16:10
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027? Yes +250 $202 94¢ $234 +$32 11-08 06:45
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +210 $133 92¢ $194 +$62 10-13 01:04
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election? Yes +212 $186 88¢ $187 +$1 11-04 02:55
Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? Yes +150 $108 88¢ $131 +$23 10-27 01:27
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? No +150 $117 82¢ $124 +$6 10-14 05:53
Human moon landing in 2026? No -80 -$79 100¢ $-80 $0 11-03 21:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -70 -$68 98¢ $-69 -$1 11-03 19:59
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -60 -$60 99¢ $-60 $0 11-03 09:32
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -47 -$45 98¢ $-46 $0 11-04 03:55
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No -40 -$59 92¢ $-37 +$22 11-05 05:22
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election? Yes +50 $12 16¢ $8 -$5 10-12 10:04
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,387 $728 0¢ $6 -$722 11-04 08:36