Qualified-Outcome 0xc2d285…1238cc
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,234
lifetime
Volume
$18.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$148
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-27 09:54
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50% — —
Sports
39% — —
Politics
8% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -20 $-15 72¢ $-14 +$0 06-08 10:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -12 $-11 99¢ $-12 $-1 06-12 02:43
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No -12 $-12 100¢ $-12 $-0 06-12 02:41
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -20 $-11 52¢ $-10 +$0 06-08 13:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-12 02:43
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -10 $-9 92¢ $-9 $-0 06-12 02:43
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-9 90¢ $-9 $-0 06-12 02:43
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No -10 $-8 86¢ $-9 $-1 06-12 02:41
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +8 $6 84¢ $6 +$1 06-17 23:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -10 $-4 52¢ $-5 $-1 06-01 13:10
Trump out as President by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 13:10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 02:43
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 05-28 22:53
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -5 $-4 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 02:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 02:46
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-1 06-12 02:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -5 $-4 86¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 13:10
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No -5 $-4 84¢ $-4 $-0 06-12 02:42
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 $-0 06-25 17:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 06-17 11:36
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +10 $4 34¢ $3 $-0 06-13 05:10
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +42 $9 5¢ $2 $-7 06-26 06:40
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -22 $-2 4¢ $-1 +$1 06-12 02:44
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes -38 $-3 1¢ $-0 +$2 06-12 02:44