Qualified-Outcome 0xc2d285…1238cc
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
836
lifetime
Volume
$17.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$397
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-09 03:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50% — —
Sports
43% — —
Politics
5% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +30 $14 68¢ $21 +$6 05-30 17:42
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +19 $15 86¢ $16 +$1 06-03 11:10
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes -21 $-16 76¢ $-16 $-0 06-01 13:10
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +21 $15 74¢ $16 +$1 06-03 09:04
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -20 $-15 78¢ $-15 $-0 06-08 10:07
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? No +15 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 06-08 11:40
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 06-03 18:47
Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +15 $14 98¢ $15 +$0 05-31 13:49
Will Oro launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +15 $14 97¢ $15 +$0 05-31 10:55
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +20 $15 72¢ $14 $-0 06-02 19:58
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +23 $15 63¢ $14 $-0 06-08 13:29
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? No +15 $15 96¢ $14 $-0 05-31 10:29
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No +15 $14 95¢ $14 $-0 06-03 11:09
Over $1M committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +15 $14 94¢ $14 +$0 06-08 11:20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +30 $15 47¢ $14 $-0 06-03 11:36
Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +20 $15 70¢ $14 $-1 06-02 22:24
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 05-29 20:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +15 $14 92¢ $14 +$0 06-08 10:53
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +15 $13 89¢ $13 +$0 06-08 13:50
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +15 $14 86¢ $13 $-1 06-03 09:52
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +23 $15 55¢ $13 $-2 06-03 05:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +15 $12 82¢ $12 +$0 06-03 23:52
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +12 $10 93¢ $12 +$1 06-08 20:18
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -20 $-11 55¢ $-11 $-0 06-08 13:12
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Yes -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 +$1 06-08 10:07
Another Elon baby by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-04 06:07
Over $500k committed to the ALIGN public sale? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-08 12:21
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$0 06-02 13:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -40 $-9 20¢ $-8 +$1 06-09 03:29
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +9 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 05-31 18:01