Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
-$115
Hit rate
93.7%
Resolved
3
Trades
6,307
lifetime
Volume
$573.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$3.35K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 18:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
66% 50% +$30
Other
32% 100% +$36
Crypto
1%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,000 $1,604 72¢ $1.4K $-174 07-20 07:44
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,300 $-949 74¢ $-968 $-20 06-08 01:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +500 $310 67¢ $335 +$25 07-05 00:03
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -400 $-300 78¢ $-314 $-14 07-16 16:20
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -400 $-224 32¢ $-129 +$95 05-28 15:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +100 $95 99¢ $99 +$4 07-11 22:31
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $42 100¢ $50 +$8 06-14 23:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -170 $16 14¢ $-23 $-39 07-21 15:29