Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
93.7%
Resolved
3
Trades
5,704
lifetime
Volume
$530.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$6.73K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
65% 50% +$30
Other
33% 100% +$36
Crypto
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +3,849 $3,726 100¢ $3.8K +$114 06-29 04:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +1,569 $1,566 100¢ $1.6K +$0 07-01 14:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1,300 $-949 84¢ $-1098 $-150 06-08 01:41
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -400 $-224 26¢ $-105 +$119 05-28 15:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes -412 $-17 16¢ $-68 $-50 06-13 00:44
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $42 100¢ $50 +$8 06-14 23:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -240 $-40 $-1 +$39 06-02 11:45