Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
26
lifetime
Volume
$37
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$26
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-13 10:58
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
62%
Other
21%
Tech
8%
Sports
5%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 05-06 15:32
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? Yes -2 $-2 94¢ $-2 $-0 05-05 14:39
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 75¢ $2 $-0 05-06 15:32
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 05-12 20:21
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 05-12 20:41
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-12 21:56
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 +$0 05-12 20:30
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No -1 $-1 82¢ $-1 $-0 05-12 20:21
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 05-12 20:41
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? Yes -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 +$0 05-12 20:30
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes -1 $-1 87¢ $-1 $-0 05-12 20:30
Will Eddie Andrews win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 05-11 16:56
Will Gregory Tomaini be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Jersey? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 05-11 17:23
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election? No -1 $-1 76¢ $-1 +$0 05-11 20:27
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 05-12 20:41
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? No +3 $1 34¢ $1 $-0 05-12 21:56
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 +$0 05-12 20:21
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -2 $-1 45¢ $-1 +$0 05-12 20:30
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +2 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 05-11 12:49
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 $-0 05-11 14:13
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-1 12¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 20:30