Wobbly-Donut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$570

Unrealized P&L

-$167

Hit rate

26.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$83

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-15 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

41% 11% -$248

Politics

37% 31% -$31

Sports

21% 0% -$280

Crypto

1% 0% -$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	+100	$30	19¢	$19	-$11	05-09 16:30
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+714	$50	3¢	$19	-$31	05-22 04:05
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+768	$60	2¢	$17	-$43	05-10 17:17
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+357	$50	4¢	$13	-$37	05-09 05:27
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	+69	$30	16¢	$11	-$19	05-10 18:13
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	+355	$20	1¢	$3	-$17	05-09 05:35
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	+63	$10	4¢	$2	-$8	05-16 06:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$280	3,044	0	+3,044	No	-$280	06-15 16:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$110	91	91	+0	Yes	+$10	05-14 04:51
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$100	161	0	+161	No	-$100	05-22 04:04
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	3	$97	87,395	0	+87,395	No	-$97	05-14 04:51
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$92	71	71	+0	Yes	+$48	05-19 17:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$60	768	0	+768	open	—	05-10 17:17
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$55	45	45	+0	Yes	+$35	05-20 03:48
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$50	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	-$50	05-22 04:16
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	1	$50	714	0	+714	open	—	05-22 04:05
New pandemic in 2026?	1	$50	357	0	+357	open	—	05-09 05:27
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	5	$41	3,050	0	+3,050	No	-$41	05-21 06:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	2	$40	936	0	+936	No	-$40	05-20 03:49
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	05-09 16:30
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	1	$30	250	0	+250	No	-$30	05-12 04:17
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?	1	$30	343	0	+343	Yes	-$30	05-10 18:23
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	1	$30	69	0	+69	open	—	05-10 18:13
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$30	57	0	+57	No	-$30	05-12 16:50
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	1	$30	634	0	+634	open	—	05-12 16:53
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	1	$20	355	0	+355	open	—	05-09 05:35
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	1	$10	385	0	+385	No	-$10	05-12 17:04
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$10	200	0	+200	No	-$10	05-09 05:44
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	1	$10	63	0	+63	open	—	05-16 06:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	-$10	05-09 16:34
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$10	78	0	+78	No	-$10	05-09 05:42
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	1	$10	43	0	+43	No	-$10	05-19 17:12
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$10	24	0	+24	Yes	+$14	05-13 04:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	1	$10	278	0	+278	No	-$10	05-16 05:46
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$10	116	0	+116	Yes	+$106	05-09 05:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$10	419	0	+419	No	-$10	05-19 17:56
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?	1	$5	132	0	+132	No	-$5	05-12 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 16:18:03	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	926	11¢	$100	0xef1ca1…
05-22 04:16:35	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	40,000	0¢	$40	0x8f323b…
05-22 04:12:18	Trump kiss by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x217cc1…
05-22 04:06:12	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,124	9¢	$100	0x203ba4…
05-22 04:05:35	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x0d7aee…
05-22 04:04:55	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	63¢	$90	0xa011b3…
05-22 03:56:05	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xbcd0c7…
05-21 06:12:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,065	1¢	$10	0x2860ed…
05-20 03:49:27	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	238	8¢	$20	0x7d65fd…
05-20 03:49:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	436	2¢	$10	0xab6bca…
05-20 03:49:06	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$10	0xafc245…
05-20 03:48:03	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x743dea…
05-19 17:56:19	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	419	2¢	$10	0xb4c17d…
05-19 17:12:34	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x12f2db…
05-19 17:10:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	361	8¢	$30	0xb2fe45…
05-19 17:04:49	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x68ef46…
05-16 06:05:24	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x5a5b35…
05-16 05:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x2ac506…
05-16 05:46:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x0b6396…
05-14 04:51:53	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	56,810	0¢	$57	0x092708…
05-14 04:51:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	91	66¢	$60	0xbedbbf…
05-13 04:49:11	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x810da0…
05-12 17:51:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x00d79f…
05-12 17:07:05	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x4e80a3…
05-12 17:04:16	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0x10b709…
05-12 17:03:34	Will Trump Leave China on May 16?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x9697c8…
05-12 17:02:20	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xecc68a…
05-12 16:55:43	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0xceecea…
05-12 16:53:21	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	634	5¢	$30	0x1a27c1…
05-12 16:50:54	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xf75797…
05-12 16:50:30	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	31¢	$22	0x84898a…
05-12 16:50:02	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x2b0008…
05-12 04:17:11	Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xfad90e…
05-12 02:57:51	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	395	8¢	$30	0x503626…
05-10 18:23:28	AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?	No	BUY	343	9¢	$30	0x6eeb71…
05-10 18:13:56	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	43¢	$30	0x9a09f0…
05-10 17:17:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	435	7¢	$30	0x898151…
05-10 07:40:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	348	3¢	$10	0x2d6626…
05-09 16:34:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x5429cf…
05-09 16:32:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	585	2¢	$10	0x3d9bb2…
05-09 16:30:19	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x2de83f…
05-09 16:28:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x055493…
05-09 16:27:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	455	2¢	$10	0xbb2428…
05-09 05:44:38	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa2edbf…
05-09 05:42:28	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	9¢	$10	0xd21718…
05-09 05:42:18	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x856bb8…
05-09 05:35:11	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	BUY	355	6¢	$20	0x711f2e…
05-09 05:30:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x0bb2dc…
05-09 05:28:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	9¢	$30	0x1c3fe1…
05-09 05:27:55	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xed9476…