Vengeful-Bonsai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

294

Trades

684

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$11

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 11-03 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 61% -$10

Other

17% 62% +$3

Tech

1% 71% -$1

Sports

0% 82% -$1

Politics

0% 82% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+4	$2	90¢	$3	+$1	08-13 10:15
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	+3	$2	80¢	$2	+$0	09-23 04:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+2	$2	94¢	$2	+$0	09-04 08:11
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+2	$2	86¢	$2	$0	11-03 06:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	$0	10-15 08:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	4	$1.0K	517	512	+5	No	+$0	02-23 04:02
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$999	501	501	+0	No	-$1	02-09 05:47
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	10	$628	315	315	+0	No	$0	06-23 05:30
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	3	$605	306	301	+5	No	$0	02-23 04:02
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$530	531	0	+531	No	+$1	01-31 05:19
will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	8	$378	190	190	+0	No	+$0	07-28 14:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	4	$355	180	180	+0	No	+$1	09-23 04:18
will solana reach 160 in june 2026	6	$339	170	170	+0	No	$0	06-25 06:27
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	3	$269	90	180	-90	No	+$0	10-13 05:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	4	$260	130	130	+0	No	$0	06-16 08:24
will xrp reach 4 in october 2026	3	$257	172	86	+86	No	+$0	10-15 08:32
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	4	$239	120	120	+0	No	$0	07-23 07:03
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	3	$239	160	80	+80	No	+$0	10-27 07:07
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	06-30 05:38
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	4	$199	100	100	+0	No	$0	07-28 14:02
will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	06-27 06:08
will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	2	$189	95	95	+0	No	+$0	08-04 12:57
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	09-15 06:35
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	09-19 08:23
Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	09-25 03:53
will solana reach 160 in august 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-20 06:14
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	03-09 05:25
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	-$1	09-17 05:58
Will Solana reach $200 in September?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	09-09 04:03
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	2	$175	90	90	+0	No	$0	10-08 08:56
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	2	$175	90	90	+0	No	+$1	09-11 07:22
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$174	88	88	+0	open	—	08-21 05:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	2	$172	90	90	+0	No	-$1	09-07 11:46
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	2	$171	86	86	+0	No	$0	10-21 05:44
will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026	2	$169	85	85	+0	No	$0	10-19 12:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 06:50:39	Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xacdf06…
11-03 06:50:16	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9ad59e…
11-03 06:50:10	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc0f449…
11-03 06:49:42	Will XRP reach $3.00 in November?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x4face6…
11-03 05:54:09	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x11a70f…
10-27 07:08:27	Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by October 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcced4d…
10-27 07:07:53	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x62e229…
10-27 07:07:20	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x491c70…
10-27 07:06:45	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x54bf9d…
10-27 07:06:23	Lai Ching-te visits US by December 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd03812…
10-27 07:06:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x1779c9…
10-23 07:05:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe5c814…
10-23 07:04:30	Lai Ching-te visits US by December 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0fce88…
10-23 07:04:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xafe3ad…
10-23 06:34:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0133f4…
10-21 05:47:08	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xff856a…
10-21 05:47:02	Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x995ce9…
10-21 05:46:38	Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x003427…
10-21 05:46:30	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9e3764…
10-21 05:45:38	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xba692e…
10-21 05:45:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x597517…
10-21 05:44:44	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xd6d143…
10-21 05:44:29	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0xa03ab3…
10-19 13:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1232f8…
10-19 13:47:11	Ethereum Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xe52f1e…
10-19 13:01:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 19?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x54a6c5…
10-19 13:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x856bde…
10-19 13:00:35	Ethereum Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4bde1c…
10-19 12:58:39	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xc3a788…
10-19 12:58:18	Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xa2a8df…
10-19 12:58:09	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4b5d8f…
10-19 12:58:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x65a156…
10-19 12:57:50	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd38b17…
10-19 12:53:51	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc66bd6…
10-19 12:53:39	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x3f9d3b…
10-19 12:50:09	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x29f4df…
10-15 08:35:31	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf63b76…
10-15 08:35:26	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc121fb…
10-15 08:34:46	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcf74f…
10-15 08:34:28	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4c8700…
10-15 08:34:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3576cb…
10-15 08:33:29	will bitcoin reach 105k in october 2026	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x600d3a…
10-15 08:32:49	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6b2dd2…
10-15 08:32:31	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0c5ebe…
10-15 08:32:16	will xrp reach 4 in october 2026	No	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x31bda8…
10-13 05:53:01	Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1b3561…
10-13 05:51:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0589ce…
10-13 05:51:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x91f991…
10-13 05:50:28	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xd7d1df…
10-13 05:49:34	Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1bc341…
10-13 05:49:24	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xdc1488…
10-08 09:06:01	Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc61064…
10-08 09:05:10	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc612c6…
10-08 08:56:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0x7cc843…
10-06 06:40:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xda7bd8…
09-29 06:35:45	Trump meets with Putin by September 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5298b5…
09-25 04:01:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x013174…
09-25 03:53:50	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc85a34…
09-25 03:53:41	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xe3bda4…
09-23 04:21:52	XRP Up or Down on September 23?	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3b6113…
09-23 04:21:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3a4fed…
09-23 04:20:25	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x45bb03…
09-23 04:19:05	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa15047…
09-23 04:18:28	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x283613…
09-23 04:18:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf41d66…
09-23 04:18:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x483768…
09-19 08:24:37	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x50fe0d…
09-19 08:24:19	Ethereum Up or Down on September 19?	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x827ffe…
09-19 08:23:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc2bd9e…
09-19 08:23:07	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xaf00e7…
09-17 06:00:24	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xcd0441…
09-17 05:59:55	ethereum up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xad1d2b…
09-17 05:59:36	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf52c91…
09-17 05:58:33	Diddy released from custody in 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x9f9202…
09-17 05:58:25	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xd8389d…
09-15 06:40:04	Diddy released from custody in 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe77f92…
09-15 06:39:04	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc161c6…
09-15 06:37:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xcf01de…
09-15 06:36:46	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x56e6de…
09-15 06:35:57	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x7672c3…
09-15 06:35:49	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x8e476a…
09-11 07:24:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xbf9010…
09-11 07:24:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x322dd1…
09-11 07:23:33	Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x0d6d30…
09-11 07:22:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7c79d2…
09-11 07:22:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x6ca412…
09-09 04:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 10?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x70f1e5…
09-09 04:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 10?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x685bf7…
09-09 04:07:06	Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x93bc5d…
09-09 04:06:15	Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ca09c…
09-09 04:04:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$87	0x5e0b00…
09-09 04:03:34	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xc5a106…
09-07 11:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 8?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb06af7…
09-07 11:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x445dbc…
09-07 11:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf611e1…
09-07 11:50:25	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xe77a8c…
09-07 11:48:34	Will 007 First Light win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xa6a67a…
09-07 11:47:51	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x09d6fb…
09-07 11:47:42	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x8dcbb0…
09-07 11:46:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xbe0848…