Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

148

Trades

260

lifetime

Volume

$364

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-17

last 10-06 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

53% 69% +$4

Politics

22% 72% -$2

Crypto

12% 60% -$2

Sports

8% 62% $0

Tech

4% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	10-06 20:09
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 25%-30%?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	10-06 18:02
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-06 20:09
Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	10-06 20:09
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	2	$6	4	4	+0	No	+$2	08-21 21:16
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	10-06 20:09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	09-01 17:40
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	08-21 21:16
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	08-28 03:40
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	08-26 16:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$5	6	4	+2	No	-$1	09-02 05:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	08-25 20:40
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	09-19 09:40
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	09-17 22:56
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	08-25 03:40
Natural Disaster in 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	09-17 22:02
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	10-06 20:09
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	09-17 22:02
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	09-17 22:56
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	09-17 22:02
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	2	$4	6	0	+6	Yes	-$1	08-19 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 18?	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	06-18 05:09
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	09-17 22:02
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	09-17 22:03
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	09-17 22:56
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	09-17 22:02
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	09-17 22:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	09-17 22:02
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	-$3	08-28 20:30
Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	-$3	09-01 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 20:09:26	Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x980cad…
10-06 20:09:24	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xe86f9d…
10-06 20:09:23	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x3cb788…
10-06 20:09:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x4e860c…
10-06 20:09:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x4ffd79…
10-06 20:09:17	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xe0d91a…
10-06 20:09:15	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x3080d8…
10-06 20:09:12	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xe8b0af…
10-06 20:09:11	Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0xb603e4…
10-06 20:09:09	Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0xa3768c…
10-06 20:09:08	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x10045b…
10-06 20:09:06	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x399ba1…
10-06 18:02:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0xb29e5f…
10-04 20:07:08	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x1004e3…
09-23 22:07:08	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x06bfd7…
09-23 20:30:05	Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xea10de…
09-23 20:30:05	Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa0f4c1…
09-22 14:40:06	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa09c5a…
09-22 01:07:16	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x1f08a3…
09-19 09:40:05	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x0f8cf4…
09-19 06:32:06	1st Half Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	Sevilla FC	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xeeaa2a…
09-19 06:32:04	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4b58df…
09-19 01:17:07	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x897c7d…
09-18 23:47:01	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3e10ab…
09-18 21:47:04	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9b6411…
09-18 14:02:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x43766f…
09-18 08:30:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Idaho Senate election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x85c0d7…
09-17 22:56:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xd072d1…
09-17 22:56:52	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xb9fd43…
09-17 22:56:51	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xfa8e3b…
09-17 22:56:51	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xc0058f…
09-17 22:56:51	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x81022f…
09-17 22:56:51	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$3	0x65abfa…
09-17 22:03:13	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x458737…
09-17 22:03:10	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	52¢	$1	0xa492c2…
09-17 22:03:10	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x537e5e…
09-17 22:03:09	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x85b8f5…
09-17 22:03:07	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xff8956…
09-17 22:03:06	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x7a2440…
09-17 22:03:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x48b93c…
09-17 22:03:03	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x7f181c…
09-17 22:03:03	Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6fb64c…
09-17 22:03:00	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xbd1ff5…
09-17 22:03:00	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0xaf6541…
09-17 22:02:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xa4a7ae…
09-17 22:02:57	Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xefcecd…
09-17 22:02:54	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x96a48f…
09-17 22:02:54	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x79e103…
09-17 22:02:52	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x59f49a…
09-17 22:02:51	Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xa5b25f…
09-17 22:02:49	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xc16694…
09-17 22:02:48	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x58e356…
09-15 20:30:06	Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x2cf8a8…
09-15 19:40:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x778e9e…
09-15 19:40:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x73c747…
09-02 05:15:12	Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x081b44…
09-02 05:00:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x0438c9…
09-01 20:30:12	Will Gracinha Caiado win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x51d01a…
09-01 17:40:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xdc2d70…
08-31 02:15:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2d0976…
08-30 16:45:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xbee9f5…
08-28 20:30:10	Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xf80cbe…
08-28 16:45:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf34198…
08-28 16:45:07	Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xf2698a…
08-28 09:40:06	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x2e26a4…
08-28 07:45:27	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x1d9866…
08-28 04:15:13	atp marozsa duckwor 2026 08 27	James Duckworth	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6fcb12…
08-28 03:40:06	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xa74240…
08-26 23:00:46	Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc6b6b6…
08-26 19:40:06	cs2 furia pain 2026 08 26 map handicap away 1pt5	FURIA	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd1e692…
08-26 19:30:37	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0a62f7…
08-26 17:40:07	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A	M80	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xef9988…
08-26 17:00:19	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A	M80	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x56a2ec…
08-26 16:45:13	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf2acac…
08-26 16:45:12	Will Leavitt say "Illegal" or "Illegals" during the next White House Press Briefing?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x761f94…
08-26 16:40:06	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x9985dc…
08-26 08:30:21	cs2 furia pain 2026 08 26 map handicap away 1pt5	FURIA	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaecb45…
08-26 03:45:07	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x2e13ba…
08-25 21:38:39	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Wisconsin in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5295f9…
08-25 21:38:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc8ea3f…
08-25 21:38:37	Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x28f50d…
08-25 20:40:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xc7018f…
08-25 07:30:37	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x1834de…
08-25 03:40:06	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x37fca6…
08-25 03:30:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x8e1f39…
08-24 06:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x8a64f4…
08-24 05:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x851a56…
08-24 03:45:12	will ethereum reach 2700 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf6e32a…
08-24 00:00:19	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb55473…
08-23 11:45:28	Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8e6e3c…
08-23 03:40:07	nfl dal ari 2026 08 23	Cowboys	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xcf756d…
08-23 02:30:18	nfl dal ari 2026 08 23	Cowboys	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3309cc…
08-23 01:45:12	ufc ser2 vit3 2026 08 22	Vitor Petrino	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3ac115…
08-23 01:15:10	mlb oak hou 2026 08 22	Houston Astros	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xec54f7…
08-23 00:15:12	nfl phi ne 2026 08 22	Eagles	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9177d8…
08-23 00:15:12	atp nakashi tiafoe 2026 08 22	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5e8996…
08-22 16:45:25	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x733798…
08-22 15:15:24	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x110713…
08-22 12:15:24	Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xeedc5b…
08-21 22:15:24	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3b0825…