Realized P&L
-$70
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
133
Trades
514
lifetime
Volume
$1.00K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$24
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 10-28 18:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
67% 50% -$62
Politics
28% 80% -$1
Crypto
4% 0% -$6
Sports
1% 33% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 06-17 11:38
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -11 -$4 14¢ $-1 +$2 09-20 20:35
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -2 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 09-21 17:39
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-28 14:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:24
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:21
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-21 17:35
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 10-26 05:02
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 $0 10-26 05:25
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +1 $1 71¢ $1 $0 09-21 16:49
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-18 01:10
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +8 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 09-21 17:42
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2 $1 20¢ $0 -$1 07-11 02:47
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 10-28 18:14
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -4 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$1 06-02 17:59
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -6 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 06-02 17:58
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -3 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 06-02 17:59
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -4 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 17:58