Realized P&L
+$319
Unrealized P&L
+$1.11K
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
1,537
Trades
11,508
lifetime
Volume
$230.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$3.80K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 09-12 21:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
55% 67% -$1,112
Politics
44% 64% +$1,275
Crypto
1% 24% +$24
Sports
0% 67% +$131
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +736 $347 90¢ $658 +$312 08-18 18:08
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +550 $359 92¢ $509 +$149 09-08 12:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +468 $282 92¢ $433 +$151 09-11 04:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No +434 $360 90¢ $393 +$33 08-31 11:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +429 $360 82¢ $354 -$6 09-12 11:28
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +483 $188 58¢ $281 +$93 09-11 19:20
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +298 $224 94¢ $280 +$56 08-26 20:57
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? No +300 $126 89¢ $267 +$141 08-28 16:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +231 $120 92¢ $211 +$91 06-16 14:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +186 $67 86¢ $161 +$94 09-04 21:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +146 -$1 93¢ $136 +$137 06-19 12:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +144 $52 47¢ $68 +$16 09-05 11:56
trump meets with putin by december 31 No +383 $210 14¢ $54 -$157 09-08 18:18