Realized P&L
-$31
Unrealized P&L
-$69
Hit rate
17.9%
Resolved
33
Trades
95
lifetime
Volume
$340
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$67
24 positions
First seen
2026-08-21
last 10-26 07:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Sports
44% 0% -$47
Politics
41% 36% +$54
Other
14% 0% -$36
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 08-21 15:42
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +266 $7 3¢ $8 +$1 10-16 13:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +15 $10 56¢ $8 -$2 08-21 15:32
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +54 $6 13¢ $7 +$1 09-23 21:03
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +38 $10 18¢ $7 -$3 08-21 15:33
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +89 $7 8¢ $7 $0 09-23 21:03
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +81 $4 3¢ $3 -$1 10-19 11:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +13 $2 18¢ $2 +$0 10-09 20:38
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $1 5¢ $2 +$1 08-29 14:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +17 $1 10¢ $2 +$1 09-23 21:16
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +222 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-09 13:30
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +143 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 10-09 13:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +29 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 09-23 21:10
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 08-29 14:56
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +83 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-09 13:30
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? Yes +146 $6 1¢ $1 -$5 09-23 21:03
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +22 $1 4¢ $1 $0 09-02 17:03
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-29 14:44
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +269 $55 0¢ $1 -$54 09-23 21:05
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-02 17:01
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 4¢ $0 $0 09-02 17:02
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 08-29 14:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-21 15:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +50 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-02 16:54