Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
2,244
lifetime
Volume
$9.13K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$38
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 07-04 18:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
71% 100% +$1
Politics
21% 50% $-8
Sports
8%
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 682 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? No -9 $-2 83¢ $-7 $-5 06-11 13:09
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -8 $-4 79¢ $-7 $-2 06-11 13:07
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -8 $-4 49¢ $-4 $-0 06-11 13:08
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -4 $-3 84¢ $-3 $-0 06-11 13:08
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -3 $-3 97¢ $-3 $-0 06-11 13:09
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -7 $-2 42¢ $-3 $-1 06-11 13:12
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027? No -3 $-3 93¢ $-3 $-0 06-11 13:09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-2 64¢ $-3 $-1 06-11 13:12
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-2 45¢ $-2 $-1 06-11 15:51
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-1 32¢ $-2 $-1 06-11 15:51
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 $-0 06-11 15:53
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -3 $-1 21¢ $-1 +$1 06-11 13:07