Realized P&L
-$2.33K
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved
453
Trades
2,408
lifetime
Volume
$25.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$319
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 08-23 15:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Other
86% 50% -$1,963
Politics
8% 49% -$210
Sports
5% 39% -$153
Tech
0% 70% -$2
Crypto
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -300 -$237 82¢ $-248 -$10 05-07 07:26
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -16 -$16 100¢ $-16 $0 06-08 21:31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -10 -$9 90¢ $-9 $0 06-08 21:31
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -9 -$7 97¢ $-9 -$2 06-11 13:06
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -8 -$4 97¢ $-8 -$4 06-11 13:07
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -7 -$5 96¢ $-6 -$1 06-11 13:07
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -4 -$3 94¢ $-4 $0 06-11 13:08
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -5 -$2 75¢ $-4 -$2 06-11 15:51
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -4 -$3 84¢ $-4 -$1 06-11 13:09
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -7 -$2 51¢ $-4 -$2 06-11 13:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -3 -$2 86¢ $-3 -$1 06-11 13:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No -2 -$1 80¢ $-2 -$1 06-11 15:51
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 79¢ $-1 $0 06-11 15:53
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -6 -$1 13¢ $-1 +$1 06-11 15:51
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -8 -$4 3¢ $-0 +$4 06-11 13:08
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -8 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$1 06-11 13:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -2 $0 14¢ $-0 +$0 06-11 13:10
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 -$2 4¢ $-0 +$2 06-11 13:12
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes -3 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 06-11 13:07
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? No -2 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 06-11 13:07