Severe-Raiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

415

lifetime

Volume

$414

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-25 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Politics

19% 0% $-0

Crypto

13% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	19	$19	11	9	+1	open	—	07-11 01:27
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	12	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	01-24 06:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 07:25
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	10	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-23 09:36
nothing ever happens microstrategy	9	$9	5	6	-1	open	—	03-05 07:47
ethereum up or down on february 27	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-27 09:34
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-04 00:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-17 00:36
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-18 00:18
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-18 10:12
will usdai launch a token by march 31	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-13 06:19
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	03-19 04:17
will trump meet with machado by january 16 159	5	$5	2	3	-1	open	—	01-14 08:49
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:11
bitcoin above 68k on april 18	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 07:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-07 01:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 00:47
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 01:43
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 03:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$4	1	3	-2	open	—	06-05 09:34
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 00:30
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-10 00:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-28 00:43
will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-04 06:42
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 01:25
tsm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 2pt92	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-14 08:57
peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-23 00:49
nothing ever happens january	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-03 03:33
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:19
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-19 09:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 10:09:54	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xbf559a…
07-25 10:09:34	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ea887…
07-25 09:57:07	will deepseek ipo by december 31 2026 20260714175933544	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb43a09…
07-25 09:56:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6e0a14…
07-23 00:49:16	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64d48e…
07-23 00:47:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9f1175…
07-23 00:26:19	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c25b2…
07-23 00:25:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe9eb22…
07-20 02:41:01	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa9bbe6…
07-20 02:40:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe0ae01…
07-20 02:23:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x091f7a…
07-20 02:21:37	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xab4fd8…
07-18 00:18:51	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x0dd56d…
07-18 00:03:54	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8e2553…
07-17 00:36:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8b5215…
07-17 00:17:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd660a1…
07-16 00:21:38	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x6e5207…
07-16 00:08:50	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf4f665…
07-15 01:01:55	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd033c5…
07-15 01:01:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfa14a4…
07-15 00:26:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x46c1ff…
07-15 00:24:46	will trump say belgium this week 20260710153927808	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbac522…
07-14 00:36:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x66cc1f…
07-14 00:16:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x53164b…
07-13 02:08:28	will trump say graham or platner this week 20260710153927791	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x396f4f…
07-13 02:07:44	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4220a3…
07-13 01:47:08	will trump say graham or platner this week 20260710153927791	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1d195c…
07-13 01:46:05	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x35b769…
07-11 01:27:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe63001…
07-11 00:58:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3952e8…
07-10 00:33:47	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9d3fc7…
07-10 00:13:35	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9dd909…
07-09 00:23:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x584200…
07-09 00:09:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6fedcd…
07-08 00:25:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x49d8c7…
07-08 00:08:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x332536…
07-07 00:23:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x690d57…
07-07 00:08:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7e4941…
07-06 01:23:38	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x01dca9…
07-06 01:09:07	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6c1d6a…
07-04 00:43:37	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7eaa76…
07-04 00:22:47	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a2368…
07-03 01:37:53	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xcd46bc…
07-03 01:24:56	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3538e4…
07-02 01:13:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x21bc59…
07-02 00:29:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9104cd…
07-01 00:09:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7a754a…
06-30 23:51:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3058cd…
06-30 00:55:19	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7e8d54…
06-30 00:54:41	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5cbcfe…
06-30 00:20:29	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11174f…
06-30 00:13:53	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x500f29…
06-27 01:03:16	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xe78610…
06-27 00:56:46	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x65e0a7…
06-25 00:19:31	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc72399…
06-25 00:18:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x85600a…
06-25 00:10:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2f243b…
06-25 00:08:13	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x837171…
06-24 10:22:07	QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x6005c4…
06-24 10:21:44	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9547bf…
06-24 10:21:10	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3e0900…
06-24 10:10:41	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb2ab30…
06-24 10:09:28	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x042d27…
06-23 10:30:32	will xrp reach 1pt8 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6782ef…
06-23 10:30:10	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3bcf5f…
06-23 10:27:11	will xrp reach 1pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x989851…
06-23 10:26:11	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0cca9b…
06-22 08:18:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2e1a7b…
06-22 08:18:26	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcc6418…
06-22 08:01:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3f9676…
06-22 08:00:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9e4ce6…
06-18 10:12:05	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x640e51…
06-18 10:11:43	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbf7b5e…
06-18 10:10:43	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d9951…
06-18 10:06:49	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6c5368…
06-17 09:40:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x41985c…
06-17 09:32:04	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe25543…
06-16 10:07:06	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x102b49…
06-16 10:06:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x974fa4…
06-16 09:57:15	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x83b19c…
06-16 09:55:18	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd51ace…
06-15 09:58:43	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x415c9f…
06-15 09:57:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8db66c…
06-13 09:30:16	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd9d87f…
06-13 09:28:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xda8c3d…
06-13 09:16:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3f6879…
06-13 09:16:04	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93c743…
06-12 10:10:21	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3ece47…
06-12 09:55:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1aca4a…
06-11 10:16:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xfd4df8…
06-11 10:05:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x14305b…
06-10 10:15:13	will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xae35aa…
06-10 10:13:16	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x262210…
06-10 10:07:09	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x044e16…
06-10 10:06:01	will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10e12a…
06-09 09:15:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb8433c…
06-09 09:05:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb82c9b…
06-08 08:46:12	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9514cb…
06-08 08:42:34	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xda54ff…
06-06 09:11:22	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2f87df…