Shady-Tool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.16K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

4,036

lifetime

Volume

$2.15M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$533

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 06-30 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

42% 100% +$436

Other

37% 100% +$461

Crypto

12% — —

Tech

6% — —

Sports

4% 67% +$268

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	53	$179.8K	189,056	0	+189,056	open	—	06-03 23:24
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	177	$179.6K	99,946	80,000	+19,946	open	—	06-07 12:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	23	$139.5K	143,904	33,333	+110,571	open	—	06-16 00:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	178	$75.5K	40,908	38,014	+2,894	open	—	05-31 22:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	51	$67.7K	70,325	0	+70,325	open	—	06-11 17:37
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	18	$66.7K	82,369	472	+81,898	open	—	06-17 03:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	174	$58.9K	31,571	31,823	-252	open	—	04-24 05:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	9	$54.2K	55,555	0	+55,555	open	—	06-10 03:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	71	$53.6K	28,534	28,914	-380	open	—	04-06 03:16
spx opens up or down on april 1 2026	7	$50.0K	25,000	25,000	+0	open	—	04-01 20:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	24	$49.6K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	04-29 14:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	42	$47.0K	18,226	30,048	-11,821	open	—	05-15 01:32
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	48	$39.0K	34,299	5,005	+29,294	Yes	+$289	05-03 04:52
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	154	$32.3K	16,814	17,167	-353	open	—	03-25 14:43
israel closes its airspace by june 8	7	$30.6K	26,723	5,000	+21,723	open	—	06-09 04:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	21	$30.4K	106,470	106,470	-0	open	—	06-10 19:29
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	44	$29.0K	29,283	4,168	+25,115	open	—	06-24 02:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	45	$28.3K	29,189	0	+29,189	open	—	05-30 18:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	10	$25.7K	25,789	0	+25,789	open	—	06-01 12:09
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	37	$25.3K	11,963	13,667	-1,704	open	—	06-06 10:52
nvda above 200 on june 5 2026	3	$25.2K	25,268	0	+25,268	open	—	06-05 23:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	19	$24.2K	24,312	0	+24,312	open	—	06-15 04:15
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	6	$23.7K	12,135	12,135	+0	open	—	06-30 08:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	44	$21.5K	23,056	0	+23,056	open	—	03-31 00:45
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	58	$19.9K	12,493	8,109	+4,384	open	—	03-31 17:38
spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	1	$19.8K	19,886	0	+19,886	open	—	06-05 13:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$18.6K	14,952	14,952	+0	open	—	03-05 15:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	35	$17.0K	10,743	10,743	+0	No	+$436	05-07 20:36
spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	6	$16.7K	16,750	0	+16,750	open	—	06-04 13:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	50	$16.5K	17,753	0	+17,753	open	—	04-28 19:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 08:10:49	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	12,135	100¢	$12,110	0x5e831d…
06-27 04:14:25	mlb lad sd 2026 06 26	San Diego Padres	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0x5daafb…
06-26 20:17:49	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	520	100¢	$518	0x0e3d19…
06-25 02:12:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	4,547	12¢	$549	0x705f2e…
06-24 06:46:14	mlb lad min 2026 06 24	Minnesota Twins	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0x0e9810…
06-24 05:50:35	mlb lad min 2026 06 24	Minnesota Twins	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x0aa20d…
06-24 05:34:35	mlb lad min 2026 06 24	Minnesota Twins	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x5371c3…
06-24 05:34:32	mlb lad min 2026 06 24	Minnesota Twins	BUY	139	37¢	$52	0xe1896b…
06-24 02:29:07	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xb14dc4…
06-24 02:19:52	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x414336…
06-24 01:32:04	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x877a6a…
06-24 01:32:01	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x633457…
06-24 01:31:59	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x71e739…
06-24 01:31:59	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x5d929c…
06-24 01:30:13	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	161	51¢	$82	0x836e66…
06-24 01:30:10	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	152	51¢	$77	0x793281…
06-24 01:29:02	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x8e8740…
06-24 01:09:16	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x651b5c…
06-24 01:07:13	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	1,200	52¢	$624	0xc47639…
06-23 22:25:31	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x0c1200…
06-23 22:06:07	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	439	58¢	$255	0xacae0f…
06-23 21:54:20	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xda0513…
06-23 21:54:19	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x1c86bb…
06-23 20:50:22	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	1,842	57¢	$1,047	0x4ed9a2…
06-23 16:36:26	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	220	52¢	$114	0xa9c4d1…
06-23 16:36:26	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x00702b…
06-22 16:34:23	wti up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x55c895…
06-17 18:01:49	mlb tb lad 2026 06 17	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	195	41¢	$80	0xdeebb8…
06-17 03:08:45	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	472	7¢	$34	0xe80ccb…
06-16 14:25:17	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	10,099	100¢	$10,089	0x2ab0d3…
06-16 06:20:18	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,262	36¢	$820	0x7e8ce8…
06-16 06:19:58	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,425	38¢	$913	0x848e8c…
06-16 00:02:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xf58a44…
06-16 00:02:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,800	96¢	$1,728	0xc7cfb6…
06-15 21:26:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	28,038	94¢	$26,383	0xe760e6…
06-15 21:26:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	929	94¢	$874	0x7ffae5…
06-15 21:26:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	544	94¢	$512	0xbd55f0…
06-15 20:53:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	702	99¢	$696	0x73f903…
06-15 19:57:01	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x6767f9…
06-15 19:50:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	No	BUY	1,056	100¢	$1,053	0x989265…
06-15 18:36:24	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	353	94¢	$330	0x05eef9…
06-15 18:07:21	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x4635f1…
06-15 18:07:09	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,112	18¢	$200	0x98f5ce…
06-15 17:35:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	630	18¢	$113	0xee673d…
06-15 17:35:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,351	18¢	$250	0xa1f352…
06-15 16:54:55	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	500	89¢	$447	0xb70131…
06-15 16:54:16	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	631	89¢	$564	0x749f66…
06-15 15:58:16	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	475	98¢	$467	0xefee3c…
06-15 15:58:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	375	98¢	$369	0xe22c2a…
06-15 15:57:57	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x705eef…
06-15 15:56:21	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	3,333	98¢	$3,283	0xc709c3…
06-15 15:55:45	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$27	0x9fa9de…
06-15 15:48:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$17	0xd5da37…
06-15 15:48:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb4df35…
06-15 15:48:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$17	0x996d3a…
06-15 15:48:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6,564	94¢	$6,171	0x85d551…
06-15 15:48:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8,529	94¢	$8,018	0x6cb5d3…
06-15 15:38:43	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,351	98¢	$1,324	0xbfb263…
06-15 13:37:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	10,987	91¢	$9,988	0xdaa638…
06-15 12:42:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	22,346	91¢	$20,312	0xe40618…
06-15 04:15:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	966	100¢	$962	0xeed039…
06-15 04:15:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6,697	100¢	$6,670	0x771d70…
06-15 04:13:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xfd9895…
06-15 04:12:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x1e85ab…
06-15 04:11:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf6336c…
06-15 04:10:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	723	100¢	$720	0xc88d08…
06-15 04:08:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xe72c06…
06-15 04:08:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xd1bf21…
06-15 04:07:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12,011	100¢	$11,963	0x605c96…
06-15 04:07:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x276f00…
06-15 04:07:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb9d96a…
06-15 04:06:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,494	0x6979a3…
06-15 04:06:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$93	0xa1db84…
06-15 04:06:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x94e104…
06-15 04:06:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xfd3f3c…
06-15 04:06:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xdfcb2f…
06-15 04:06:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x276567…
06-15 04:06:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x194202…
06-15 04:06:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$160	0x140feb…
06-15 01:09:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	11,642	79¢	$9,220	0x5443f8…
06-15 01:06:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8,358	79¢	$6,620	0x9592e8…
06-15 00:35:31	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	666	96¢	$641	0x60f4d1…
06-14 22:53:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	2,103	99¢	$2,084	0x020c94…
06-14 22:51:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x014403…
06-14 22:47:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x5f9b3a…
06-14 22:47:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xd38f0a…
06-14 22:46:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	3,195	99¢	$3,166	0x1a7d54…
06-14 22:46:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	955	100¢	$950	0xca2656…
06-14 22:43:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0xce870f…
06-14 22:40:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xfb4218…
06-14 22:25:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	3,067	100¢	$3,055	0x98dff7…
06-14 22:25:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x094ca6…
06-14 22:24:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	976	100¢	$973	0xa68a33…
06-14 22:23:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x0548b3…
06-14 22:22:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x1afaae…
06-14 22:22:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x3225aa…
06-14 22:22:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xacd899…
06-14 22:22:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x2f0a61…
06-14 22:22:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0xf1a1cc…
06-14 22:21:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7c0387…