Realized P&L
-$33.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.84K
Hit rate
90.3%
Resolved
484
Trades
5,680
lifetime
Volume
$3.08M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$543
Open exposure
$41.2K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-27 18:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Politics
45% 85% +$32,017
Other
34% 86% -$81,089
Crypto
8% 100% +$10,644
Tech
8% 100% +$4,147
Sports
4% 71% +$1,221
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +6,884 $6,539 96¢ $6.6K +$38 10-26 16:45
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +6,481 $6,147 95¢ $6.2K +$40 10-27 18:12
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +3,333 $3,166 96¢ $3.2K +$50 10-27 21:00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,333 $2,866 92¢ $3.0K +$183 09-13 03:04
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +3,284 $2,890 92¢ $3.0K +$115 10-14 21:39
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,802 $2,578 92¢ $2.6K -$14 10-13 16:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,700 -$2,322 94¢ $-2552 -$230 05-28 09:35
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,582 $2,022 44¢ $2.4K +$417 10-15 12:10
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +3,333 $1,733 70¢ $2.3K +$600 09-12 05:23
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,333 $1,700 68¢ $2.2K +$550 09-12 18:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,682 $2,213 82¢ $2.2K -$14 10-16 01:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1,500 $1,200 96¢ $1.4K +$232 10-05 17:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +21,333 $5,613 4¢ $960 -$4,653 10-27 09:25
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +709 $624 92¢ $649 +$25 10-16 20:32
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +562 $517 96¢ $539 +$22 09-12 02:37
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No -494 -$6,574 99¢ $-492 +$6,082 09-12 00:03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +7,777 $607 6¢ $478 -$128 06-01 19:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,477 $730 5¢ $174 -$556 10-05 17:39
will wti dip to 65 in october 2026 No +76 $70 100¢ $76 +$6 09-27 18:33
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +20 $19 97¢ $20 +$0 10-17 02:38
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 +$0 09-29 08:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -13 -$26 18¢ $-2 +$23 05-20 06:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -0 -$32 96¢ $-0 +$32 04-30 05:43
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 -$20 100¢ $0 +$20 09-13 21:15