(anonymous) 0xcbe21a…a3b059
5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$156
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved
88
Trades
771
lifetime
Volume
$27.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$2.65K
28 positions
First seen
2026-08-31
last 10-27 09:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
62% 77% -$826
Politics
31% 73% +$274
Tech
3% 100% +$2
Sports
3% 100% +$478
Crypto
2% 57% -$85
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +852 $617 74¢ $626 +$9 10-26 10:27
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +315 $305 86¢ $269 -$36 10-24 20:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +219 $173 96¢ $211 +$38 10-26 23:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +239 $207 82¢ $197 -$10 10-26 03:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +285 $185 66¢ $189 +$4 10-11 15:40
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +144 $140 96¢ $137 -$3 10-06 11:20
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? No +128 $121 97¢ $125 +$4 10-24 11:34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +152 $107 76¢ $115 +$9 10-06 19:10
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +124 $99 87¢ $108 +$9 10-26 23:01
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +87 $52 98¢ $85 +$33 10-25 01:02
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? No +122 $86 66¢ $81 -$5 10-26 16:51
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +110 $102 72¢ $78 -$23 10-25 13:45
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +72 $68 94¢ $68 $0 10-25 23:24
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +68 $50 87¢ $59 +$9 10-27 00:04
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +109 $87 52¢ $57 -$30 10-27 00:04
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +55 $48 80¢ $45 -$3 10-27 07:40
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +43 $35 76¢ $33 -$2 10-08 13:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +89 $55 37¢ $33 -$23 10-07 15:42
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +408 $30 8¢ $31 +$0 10-16 02:25
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? No +48 $32 46¢ $22 -$9 10-25 11:21
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +30 $23 74¢ $22 -$1 10-26 17:05
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? No +28 $23 72¢ $21 -$2 10-19 06:57
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +31 $18 36¢ $11 -$6 10-26 16:06
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +14 -$2 54¢ $8 +$10 10-23 20:31
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +15 $8 48¢ $7 -$1 10-04 16:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? No +7 $6 60¢ $4 -$1 10-04 19:41
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +3 $2 90¢ $3 +$1 09-30 10:40
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +6 $3 0¢ $0 -$3 09-11 19:18