Muted-Handlebar 0xd08478…5f27ea
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Realized P&L
-$104
Unrealized P&L
-$174
Hit rate
77.6%
Resolved
10
Trades
8,754
lifetime
Volume
$67.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$346
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 07-14 19:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
68% 100% +$11
Politics
27% 62% $-116
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +712 $198 16¢ $114 $-84 06-12 07:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes -350 $-46 22¢ $-79 $-33 06-15 08:52
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -385 $-58 12¢ $-44 +$13 06-15 08:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -88 $-11 46¢ $-41 $-29 06-15 08:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +446 $88 7¢ $33 $-55 06-12 07:42
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -334 $-33 6¢ $-22 +$12 06-15 08:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -303 $-13 3¢ $-10 +$4 06-15 08:52
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes -82 $-4 5¢ $-4 $-0 06-15 08:52