Muted-Handlebar 0xd08478…5f27ea
new
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
6
lifetime
Volume
$47
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$42
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 00:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
84% — —
Politics
16% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes +48 $22 42¢ $20 $-2 05-05 10:40
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 05-06 00:23
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +82 $7 6¢ $4 $-3 05-05 10:30
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No +11 $4 36¢ $4 $-0 05-06 00:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes +5 $3 64¢ $3 $-0 05-06 00:24