Muted-Handlebar 0xd08478…5f27ea
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Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
12
12 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$111
$111 lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$101
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 01:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56% — —
Politics
44% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +49 $42 80¢ $39 $-3 05-06 00:43
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes +48 $22 42¢ $20 $-2 05-05 10:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes +20 $13 64¢ $13 $-0 05-06 00:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? Yes +33 $11 30¢ $10 $-0 05-06 01:29
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No +15 $10 66¢ $10 $-0 05-06 00:23
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +82 $7 6¢ $4 $-3 05-05 10:30
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No +11 $4 33¢ $4 $-1 05-06 00:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +5 $2 38¢ $2 $-0 05-06 01:24