Realized P&L (90d)
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
64
64 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.85K
$1.85K lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.85K
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 06:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
100%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +443 $352 80¢ $352 $-0 05-08 04:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +344 $285 80¢ $274 $-11 05-07 21:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? No +193 $167 90¢ $172 +$5 05-08 03:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +245 $177 66¢ $161 $-16 05-07 05:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +188 $137 76¢ $144 +$7 05-08 04:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes +272 $128 48¢ $132 +$4 05-08 04:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +166 $129 80¢ $132 +$2 05-07 20:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? No +184 $96 52¢ $95 $-1 05-08 06:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? Yes +379 $73 20¢ $78 +$5 05-08 04:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +312 $65 24¢ $73 +$8 05-07 21:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes +293 $60 20¢ $60 +$0 05-08 05:28
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +125 $48 38¢ $48 +$0 05-08 04:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +76 $38 46¢ $35 $-3 05-07 11:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes +57 $18 34¢ $20 +$2 05-07 20:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +54 $16 34¢ $19 +$3 05-07 20:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +88 $19 20¢ $18 $-1 05-07 20:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +23 $15 72¢ $16 +$1 05-06 14:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +34 $10 29¢ $10 $-0 05-08 04:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +13 $7 54¢ $7 +$0 05-07 09:50
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +6 $4 62¢ $4 $-0 05-07 19:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes +16 $2 11¢ $2 $-0 05-07 20:46