Shocking-Visual — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.6%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$112

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-23 10:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

55% 25% $-1

Politics

38% 0% $-0

Tech

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$3	21	21	+0	Yes	$-0	04-23 18:08
will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	3	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 16:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	2	$3	11	11	+0	open	—	04-15 20:50
will the orlando magic make the nba playoffs 794	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-16 10:45
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 15:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$3	143	143	+0	open	—	04-19 12:35
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 16:25
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 16:18
Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?	3	$2	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-17 21:30
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	3	$2	74	74	+0	open	—	04-23 20:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	06-23 10:46
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 21:25
highest temperature in dallas on april 18 2026 78 79f	2	$2	5	4	+0	open	—	04-17 21:28
highest temperature in austin on april 18 2026 74 75f	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 21:26
russia coup attempt in 2026	2	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	06-23 10:46
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$2	14	14	+0	open	—	06-23 10:48
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	2	$2	17	17	+0	open	—	06-23 10:49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	2	$2	25	25	+0	open	—	06-23 10:49
Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	2	$2	4	4	+0	Yes	$-1	04-17 21:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$2	4	4	+0	Yes	$-0	04-23 18:12
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	2	$2	9	9	+0	open	—	06-23 10:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	15	15	+0	open	—	06-23 10:49
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	06-23 10:49
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	15	15	+0	open	—	06-23 10:48
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	06-23 10:49
Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	2	$2	9	9	+0	open	—	04-17 21:29
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$2	167	167	+0	open	—	04-23 21:12
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	2	$2	17	17	+0	open	—	06-23 10:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-17 21:29
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	2	$2	10	10	+0	open	—	06-23 10:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 10:52:31	100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0xddfc16…
06-23 10:52:23	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0xb1489d…
06-23 10:52:08	Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x61a953…
06-23 10:52:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x520bdd…
06-23 10:52:02	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xf924d9…
06-23 10:51:59	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x181481…
06-23 10:51:47	john ratcliffe out as cia director by july 31 20260616201221396	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xb78edc…
06-23 10:51:44	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x4ad25e…
06-23 10:51:40	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x222837…
06-23 10:51:26	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x6a52be…
06-23 10:50:01	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x460964…
06-23 10:49:52	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xf5dc23…
06-23 10:49:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xe9a882…
06-23 10:49:35	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x7eb412…
06-23 10:49:28	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x1387d8…
06-23 10:49:14	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xf716db…
06-23 10:49:05	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x8256c2…
06-23 10:48:43	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x629acc…
06-23 10:48:14	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x6ae42e…
06-23 10:46:44	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xc36370…
06-23 10:46:40	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x113f31…
06-23 10:46:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xa75bd9…
06-21 11:01:11	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x82cb00…
06-21 10:33:41	Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3e41e2…
06-19 19:13:44	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x834493…
06-19 18:39:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xda1ce4…
06-19 17:04:08	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe9880d…
06-19 11:55:10	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbf9785…
06-18 16:30:16	100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xffe1fa…
06-18 16:04:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x594c4e…
06-18 15:05:14	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x5ead39…
06-18 13:25:55	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2beb35…
06-18 13:23:17	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xb3888b…
06-18 08:06:47	russia coup attempt in 2026	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x419b2a…
06-18 08:05:25	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xff1988…
06-18 07:58:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe0f65d…
06-18 07:00:58	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe28941…
06-18 06:56:05	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x5e600d…
06-18 06:53:37	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x66a3a9…
06-18 06:43:17	Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x198404…
06-18 06:41:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4e60e2…
06-18 06:34:47	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfe82ee…
06-17 20:55:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe282bc…
06-17 20:39:26	john ratcliffe out as cia director by july 31 20260616201221396	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x467e09…
06-17 20:37:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xf8efaf…
06-17 20:24:05	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x11f1de…
04-24 13:00:56	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xffafd7…
04-24 07:31:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc8af9c…
04-24 07:20:38	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x3e4d2c…
04-23 22:07:46	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 160 179	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0xcb79d3…
04-23 22:03:04	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf37768…
04-23 21:33:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc70d70…
04-23 21:12:38	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0x59b004…
04-23 20:13:52	Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xcb3238…
04-23 20:12:42	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	Yes	SELL	74	0¢	$0	0xfc157f…
04-23 18:12:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xd7dd76…
04-23 18:08:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0xb3d5b6…
04-19 12:35:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$2	0x24d83e…
04-18 14:56:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x5955eb…
04-18 14:26:36	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xfec828…
04-18 07:23:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xdb3cc2…
04-18 06:55:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf41a83…
04-18 06:41:42	Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1a6454…
04-18 05:57:02	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xee1672…
04-18 05:57:02	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xd25510…
04-17 21:30:30	highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 23c	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x8811f2…
04-17 21:30:24	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 30c	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x6818eb…
04-17 21:30:24	will a quiet place part ii be the 2 us netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x1cb709…
04-17 21:30:20	highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 27c	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x1ce2d6…
04-17 21:30:16	will a quiet place part ii be the top us netflix movie this week	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x9256af…
04-17 21:30:12	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0xe864cb…
04-17 21:30:08	Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x88c95f…
04-17 21:30:06	Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xb07aef…
04-17 21:29:58	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 120 139	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x770460…
04-17 21:29:56	DoorDash total orders above 900M in Q1?	No	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x9cbef8…
04-17 21:29:52	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	No	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xf4d8f0…
04-17 21:29:50	highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 60 61f	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xd58bf4…
04-17 21:29:40	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xfb4fa2…
04-17 21:29:36	Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xfb0ea7…
04-17 21:29:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x4edaa1…
04-17 21:29:28	Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x334a80…
04-17 21:28:50	highest temperature in dallas on april 18 2026 78 79f	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xd0975d…
04-17 21:26:22	highest temperature in austin on april 18 2026 74 75f	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x3c6992…
04-17 21:25:46	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xce6e7f…
04-17 16:55:12	will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5e932c…
04-17 16:26:22	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x085b4a…
04-17 16:25:56	Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x46dc75…
04-17 16:18:38	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 19 2026	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xaed34d…
04-17 16:18:20	will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc61d65…
04-17 15:18:00	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x9af092…
04-16 19:53:02	Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xb97290…
04-16 18:46:34	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xbb6acc…
04-16 16:48:58	DoorDash total orders above 900M in Q1?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x119716…
04-16 16:38:46	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4b8381…
04-16 16:37:02	Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x3878b9…
04-16 16:25:02	Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1d582c…
04-16 14:18:18	highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x26c41a…
04-16 13:56:50	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x955a8b…
04-16 13:46:06	highest temperature in austin on april 18 2026 74 75f	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9fafe5…
04-16 13:25:28	highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xe0bd4f…