Realized P&L
+$1.41K
Unrealized P&L
+$473
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
157
Trades
265
lifetime
Volume
$101.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$385
Open exposure
$1.83K
4 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 08-02 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
66%
41%
+$6,219
Politics
13%
17%
-$10,102
Sports
13%
68%
+$3,945
Crypto
7%
55%
+$1,176
Tech
1%
100%
+$172
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | -4,101 | -$1,098 | 17¢ | $-716 | +$382 | 07-16 23:22 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | -500 | -$480 | 98¢ | $-490 | -$9 | 07-07 16:45 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | -1,000 | -$380 | 38¢ | $-382 | -$2 | 06-19 16:28 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -1,471 | -$341 | 16¢ | $-240 | +$101 | 06-21 04:20 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| spx opens up or down on february 19 2026 | 3 | $12.3K | 6,771 | 6,771 | +0 | Down | +$1,264 | 02-19 14:55 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 3 | $10.6K | 12,661 | 1,235 | +11,426 | Yes | +$3,025 | 07-25 09:21 |
| spx opens up or down on february 17 2026 | 1 | $7.9K | 0 | 7,929 | -7,929 | Down | -$11 | 02-17 14:53 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | 5 | $3.5K | 14,947 | 14,947 | +0 | open | — | 08-02 23:41 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 4 | $3.0K | 5,104 | 5,104 | +0 | No | +$1,218 | 07-16 23:22 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 2 | $2.8K | 6,427 | 0 | +6,427 | No | -$2,850 | 03-09 12:12 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2 | $2.6K | 1,497 | 5,343 | -3,846 | No | +$1,578 | 07-13 03:49 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 2 | $2.5K | 9,180 | 0 | +9,180 | Yes | -$2,500 | 02-27 13:48 |
| us iran nuclear deal by march 31 | 14 | $2.5K | 13,669 | 0 | +13,669 | No | -$2,500 | 03-05 09:33 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | 2 | $2.0K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | cancelled | -$20 | 06-30 12:37 |
| fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance | 2 | $1.8K | 4,311 | 0 | +4,311 | Spain | -$1,780 | 07-19 20:25 |
| spx opens up or down on february 20 2026 | 3 | $1.7K | 1,168 | 1,168 | +0 | Down | +$667 | 02-20 14:33 |
| fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 3pt5 | 2 | $1.6K | 1,111 | 1,111 | +0 | Over | +$610 | 07-18 22:10 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $1.5K | 0 | 1,693 | -1,693 | Yes | -$169 | 06-21 09:58 |
| Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | 2 | $1.5K | 3,125 | 3,125 | +0 | No | +$500 | 07-06 02:34 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | 3 | $1.5K | 1,080 | 1,080 | +0 | Yes | +$482 | 07-01 02:33 |
| spx opens up or down on february 24 2026 | 2 | $1.4K | 1,035 | 1,035 | +0 | Down | +$625 | 02-24 14:32 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 1 | $1.4K | 0 | 3,169 | -3,169 | Yes | -$1,774 | 06-12 10:48 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 12:25 UTC | 4 | $1.4K | 972 | 972 | +0 | Up | +$360 | 07-12 12:29 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | 3 | $1.4K | 1,030 | 1,030 | +0 | Yes | +$172 | 07-15 20:27 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 5 | $1.3K | 45,795 | 42,087 | +3,708 | No | -$260 | 06-29 17:45 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:55 UTC | 2 | $1.3K | 833 | 833 | +0 | Up | +$325 | 07-17 15:00 |
| nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 | 3 | $1.1K | 1,623 | 0 | +1,623 | Seahawks | +$475 | 02-09 00:25 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1 | $1.1K | 0 | 4,101 | -4,101 | open | — | 07-16 23:22 |
| spx opens up or down on march 2 2026 | 1 | $1000 | 4,561 | 0 | +4,561 | Down | -$1,000 | 03-01 13:25 |
| fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5 | 2 | $978 | 1,087 | 1,087 | +0 | Over | -$22 | 06-29 17:46 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 2 | $940 | 3,178 | 3,178 | +0 | open | — | 07-14 23:16 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 6 | $785 | 1,275 | 1,275 | +0 | No | -$15 | 07-12 01:09 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3 | $651 | 4,488 | 4,488 | +0 | No | +$292 | 07-06 01:40 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | 1 | $630 | 1,068 | 0 | +1,068 | Yes | +$438 | 06-28 14:35 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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