Realized P&L (30d)
-$0
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
9.2%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
310
310 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$302
$302 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$77
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 01:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
38%
Sports
32% 33% $-0
Other
30% 50% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 $-0 05-11 14:08
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 $-0 05-10 12:51
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 05-12 01:38
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 $-0 05-11 04:22
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 $-0 05-12 01:23
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 $-0 05-11 05:23
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $-0 05-11 12:17
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 $-0 05-10 15:57
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 $-0 05-10 14:37
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 $-0 05-10 15:27
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 05-11 11:23
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $-0 05-10 12:11
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $-0 05-10 15:52
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $-0 05-11 14:48
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $-0 05-11 04:22
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 05-10 12:41
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -2 $-2 99¢ $-2 $-0 05-10 15:52
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $-0 05-11 03:09
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 $-0 05-10 13:26
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 13:43
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 03:58
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 05-10 13:26
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 13:46
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 $-1 99¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 11:31
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $-0 05-11 15:23
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 23:55
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 05-10 12:22
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 12:21
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 13:32
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 15:52