(anonymous) 0xd8a5aa…95d686
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
556
1,139 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$35.9K
$73.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$69.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 09:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
61% — —
Sports
24% 61% +$22
Other
13% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +9,027 $8,677 97¢ $8.8K +$93 10-17 12:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,851 $7,245 91¢ $7.2K -$89 10-18 14:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,069 $5,501 94¢ $5.7K +$173 10-14 19:13
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,175 $5,737 90¢ $5.6K -$183 10-06 16:21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,680 $5,340 95¢ $5.4K +$50 09-30 07:56
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5,509 $5,354 97¢ $5.4K +$15 10-30 02:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +6,009 $5,257 88¢ $5.3K +$61 10-19 14:11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,374 $4,713 90¢ $4.8K +$96 10-19 10:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,091 $3,788 95¢ $3.9K +$93 09-28 01:51
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,217 $2,737 84¢ $2.7K -$23 10-30 05:07
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,083 $2,565 84¢ $2.6K +$9 10-29 11:29
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,780 $1,744 98¢ $1.7K +$5 10-30 05:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,644 $1,380 86¢ $1.4K +$39 09-17 01:31
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,128 $1,093 97¢ $1.1K +$0 10-30 09:11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,851 $643 9¢ $695 +$52 10-20 04:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,009 $765 12¢ $691 -$73 10-19 04:43
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +702 $632 90¢ $636 +$4 10-29 23:04
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,175 $480 10¢ $621 +$140 10-10 08:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +638 $596 94¢ $603 +$7 10-19 05:01
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,374 $670 11¢ $564 -$105 10-18 07:04
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +634 $559 88¢ $555 -$4 10-26 08:40
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,217 $488 16¢ $504 +$16 10-30 11:37
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,043 $523 16¢ $502 -$20 10-28 21:20
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +482 $470 98¢ $470 $0 09-18 13:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,069 $577 6¢ $394 -$182 10-19 16:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +320 $311 97¢ $310 -$1 10-20 16:19
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +326 $288 92¢ $302 +$13 10-13 09:01
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,680 $338 5¢ $290 -$48 09-26 13:14
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +9,027 $358 3¢ $257 -$101 10-14 10:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1,644 $264 14¢ $225 -$39 09-17 07:57