(anonymous) 0xd8a5aa…95d686
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
63.6%
Resolved
23
Trades
1,186
lifetime
Volume
$76.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$72.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 02:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
60% — —
Sports
24% 61% +$22
Other
13% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +9,027 $8,677 97¢ $8.8K +$75 10-17 12:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,851 $7,245 90¢ $7.1K -$148 10-18 14:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,069 $5,501 94¢ $5.7K +$234 10-14 19:13
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5,768 $5,606 97¢ $5.6K +$12 11-01 01:26
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,175 $5,737 89¢ $5.5K -$238 10-06 16:21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,680 $5,340 95¢ $5.4K +$59 09-30 07:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +6,009 $5,257 88¢ $5.3K +$61 10-19 14:11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,374 $4,713 88¢ $4.8K +$43 10-19 10:32
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4,536 $3,815 86¢ $3.9K +$109 10-31 10:47
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,091 $3,788 94¢ $3.9K +$64 09-28 01:51
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +3,217 $2,737 85¢ $2.7K -$9 10-30 05:07
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,780 $1,744 98¢ $1.7K +$5 10-30 05:47
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,644 $1,380 85¢ $1.4K +$24 09-17 01:31
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,379 $1,336 97¢ $1.3K +$4 10-31 13:09
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,192 $1,042 86¢ $1.0K -$10 10-31 22:05
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1,080 $972 90¢ $977 +$5 10-31 21:04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,851 $643 10¢ $754 +$111 10-20 04:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,009 $765 12¢ $691 -$73 10-19 04:43
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,175 $480 11¢ $676 +$196 10-10 08:11
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,587 $748 14¢ $619 -$129 10-31 22:14
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,374 $670 12¢ $618 -$52 10-18 07:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +638 $596 91¢ $581 -$15 10-19 05:01
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +544 $526 97¢ $527 +$1 10-31 00:50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,217 $488 15¢ $489 +$1 10-30 11:37
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +482 $470 97¢ $470 -$1 09-18 13:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,069 $577 6¢ $334 -$243 10-19 16:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +320 $311 97¢ $310 -$1 10-20 16:19
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +326 $288 94¢ $305 +$17 10-13 09:01
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,680 $338 5¢ $281 -$57 09-26 13:14
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +9,027 $358 3¢ $275 -$83 10-14 10:32