Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$82
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
188
1,100 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$12.1K
$71.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$66.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 21:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
62% — —
Sports
24% 61% +$22
Other
13% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +9,027 $8,677 97¢ $8.7K +$66 10-17 12:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,851 $7,245 91¢ $7.2K -$81 10-18 14:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,069 $5,501 92¢ $5.6K +$112 10-14 19:13
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,175 $5,737 90¢ $5.6K -$183 10-06 16:21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,680 $5,340 95¢ $5.4K +$47 09-30 07:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +6,009 $5,257 88¢ $5.3K +$1 10-19 14:11
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +4,979 $4,837 98¢ $4.9K +$25 10-28 21:19
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,374 $4,713 88¢ $4.8K +$43 10-19 10:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,091 $3,788 94¢ $3.8K +$56 09-28 01:51
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,632 $2,243 85¢ $2.2K -$17 10-28 03:08
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +2,676 $2,228 82¢ $2.2K -$20 10-28 08:17
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,531 $1,499 98¢ $1.5K +$4 10-26 18:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,644 $1,380 86¢ $1.4K +$32 09-17 01:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,009 $765 12¢ $751 -$13 10-19 04:43
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +770 $746 97¢ $744 -$2 10-28 13:25
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,851 $643 9¢ $687 +$44 10-20 04:28
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,175 $480 10¢ $621 +$140 10-10 08:11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,374 $670 12¢ $618 -$52 10-18 07:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +638 $596 94¢ $603 +$7 10-19 05:01
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +634 $559 88¢ $555 -$4 10-26 08:40
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,043 $523 18¢ $533 +$10 10-28 21:20
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +482 $470 98¢ $470 $0 09-18 13:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,069 $577 8¢ $455 -$122 10-19 16:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,815 $425 15¢ $435 +$10 10-28 17:04
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +428 $386 90¢ $388 +$2 10-24 20:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +320 $311 97¢ $311 $0 10-20 16:19
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +326 $288 91¢ $297 +$8 10-13 09:01
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,680 $338 5¢ $293 -$45 09-26 13:14
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +9,027 $358 3¢ $284 -$74 10-14 10:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,091 $324 6¢ $248 -$77 09-29 22:05