(anonymous) 0xd8a5aa…95d686
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
1,017
1,040 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$60.9K
$64.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$68.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 03:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
61% — —
Sports
24% 61% +$22
Other
13% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +9,027 $8,677 97¢ $8.8K +$111 10-17 12:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,851 $7,245 91¢ $7.2K -$89 10-18 14:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6,069 $5,501 94¢ $5.7K +$173 10-14 19:13
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,175 $5,737 90¢ $5.6K -$183 10-06 16:21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +5,680 $5,340 95¢ $5.4K +$47 09-30 07:56
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5,509 $5,354 97¢ $5.4K +$15 10-30 02:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +6,009 $5,257 88¢ $5.3K +$61 10-19 14:11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5,374 $4,713 90¢ $4.8K +$96 10-19 10:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,091 $3,788 95¢ $3.9K +$89 09-28 01:51
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,083 $2,565 84¢ $2.6K +$9 10-29 11:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +2,989 $2,545 84¢ $2.5K -$20 10-29 20:54
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,531 $1,499 98¢ $1.5K +$9 10-26 18:55
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,644 $1,380 85¢ $1.4K +$24 09-17 01:31
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +987 $956 97¢ $956 +$1 10-30 02:38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,851 $643 9¢ $695 +$52 10-20 04:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,009 $765 12¢ $691 -$73 10-19 04:43
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +702 $632 90¢ $636 +$4 10-29 23:04
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,175 $480 10¢ $621 +$140 10-10 08:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +638 $596 94¢ $603 +$7 10-19 05:01
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,374 $670 11¢ $564 -$105 10-18 07:04
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +634 $559 88¢ $555 -$4 10-26 08:40
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,043 $523 16¢ $502 -$20 10-28 21:20
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +482 $470 98¢ $470 +$0 09-18 13:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,847 $430 16¢ $443 +$13 10-29 23:07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6,069 $577 6¢ $394 -$182 10-19 16:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +320 $311 97¢ $310 -$1 10-20 16:19
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +326 $288 92¢ $302 +$13 10-13 09:01
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,680 $338 5¢ $293 -$45 09-26 13:14
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1,644 $264 15¢ $240 -$24 09-17 07:57
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +9,027 $358 3¢ $239 -$119 10-14 10:32