Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
12
lifetime
Volume
$21
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$24
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-12 18:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
52%
Other
48%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +16 $10 65¢ $10 +$0 05-09 19:53
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500? Yes +298 $1 $4 +$3 05-12 08:22
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? Yes +1,000 $1 $2 +$0 05-12 15:53
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes +26 $1 $1 +$0 05-12 18:37
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? Yes +1,000 $1 $1 +$0 05-12 15:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $-0 05-12 15:58
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes +18 $1 $1 $-0 05-12 18:37
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes +21 $1 $1 $-0 05-12 18:37
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 05-12 18:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes +200 $1 $1 $-0 05-12 15:58
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1510? Yes +121 $1 $1 $-0 05-12 08:22
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1520? Yes +120 $1 $0 $-1 05-12 08:22