Well-Worn-Cashier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

379

lifetime

Volume

$420

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-04 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-0

Politics

25% 0% $-1

Crypto

11% 0% $-0

Sports

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		-2	$-2	56¢	$-1	+$1	06-24 10:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	07-02 01:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 2026?	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	$-1	05-11 10:44
nothing ever happens microstrategy	14	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-05 07:47
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	12	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	01-23 09:33
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	11	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	07-02 01:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-15 07:25
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	9	$9	5	7	-1	open	—	01-15 09:33
ethereum up or down on february 27	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-27 09:34
will saudi arabia strike yemen by january 31 173	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-05 06:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$6	2	4	-2	open	—	06-18 10:20
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-04 00:43
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-19 09:40
will usdai launch a token by march 31	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	03-13 06:19
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 8?	1	$5	0	5	-5	Yes	$-0	05-08 20:00
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	03-19 04:17
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 7?	1	$5	0	5	-5	Yes	$-0	05-07 17:22
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 06:11
bitcoin above 68k on april 18	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-17 07:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-07 01:09
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 10:07
GTA VI released before June 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 01:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 03:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	04-28 00:43
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 06:18
will 2025 be the second hottest year on record 294	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-14 08:48
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 00:45
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 01:25
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 10 16	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 06:19
us strike on somalia by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-09 07:48
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 01:05
nothing ever happens khamenei	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	01-16 09:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 00:43:32	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdc1612…
07-04 00:22:43	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9c8727…
07-03 01:37:47	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xf955ac…
07-03 01:24:53	will netanyahu be pardoned by december 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1b42f5…
07-02 01:13:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x62128d…
07-02 00:29:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x352930…
07-01 00:09:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xd2227e…
06-30 23:51:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdde53f…
06-30 00:55:14	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9cd02e…
06-30 00:54:40	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbe0258…
06-30 00:20:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaad7e6…
06-30 00:13:53	Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcbdc2f…
06-27 01:05:07	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x02c5d5…
06-27 00:56:43	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcef341…
06-25 00:19:20	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf10d0f…
06-25 00:18:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x45d640…
06-25 00:10:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a8a45…
06-25 00:07:56	will benjamin netanyahu attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204734	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x41aa03…
06-24 10:22:04	QFEX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x194e81…
06-24 10:21:43	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x14252b…
06-24 10:21:07	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8d5f1b…
06-24 10:10:43	Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9f6e42…
06-24 10:09:26	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x963bd1…
06-23 10:30:29	will xrp reach 1pt8 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0346e8…
06-23 10:30:05	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x93f586…
06-23 10:27:07	will xrp reach 1pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1ed837…
06-23 10:26:08	Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30a73b…
06-22 08:28:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1032f4…
06-22 08:28:31	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb74311…
06-22 08:00:58	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x549afc…
06-22 08:00:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8f0eb7…
06-18 10:20:59	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x87c895…
06-18 10:20:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfae174…
06-18 10:17:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd77f8a…
06-18 10:16:37	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1d8a5a…
06-17 09:40:49	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7d6c19…
06-17 09:32:22	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd30905…
06-16 10:07:03	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd67bf3…
06-16 10:06:18	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb53d3a…
06-16 09:57:10	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8de08a…
06-16 09:55:10	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11a299…
06-15 09:58:45	will hurupay launch a token by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64d033…
06-15 09:58:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6296b6…
06-13 09:30:07	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x97ee84…
06-13 09:28:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcc7e98…
06-13 09:16:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf5b806…
06-13 09:15:58	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x71a647…
06-12 10:10:21	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb012d0…
06-12 09:55:01	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x46e6a4…
06-11 10:16:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x01d4ef…
06-11 10:05:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0e417b…
06-10 10:15:10	will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x33af8d…
06-10 10:13:07	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc3f1a1…
06-10 10:07:06	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x18b2e7…
06-10 10:05:54	will solana reach 100 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa04f8a…
06-09 09:15:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x3baf9e…
06-09 09:04:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5affdc…
06-08 08:46:34	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf7eb41…
06-08 08:42:19	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x549f9e…
06-06 09:11:19	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5ed505…
06-06 09:11:01	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb2d4d4…
06-06 09:01:22	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xccec16…
06-06 08:59:16	israeli forces enter tyre by june 7	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8930f6…
06-05 09:58:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe47cfd…
06-05 09:21:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac114f…
06-04 10:16:25	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x091dbf…
06-04 10:12:51	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xce1d00…
06-03 10:25:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc2dca3…
06-03 08:52:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8dfb9b…
06-02 08:50:38	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9bbb85…
06-02 08:49:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xac0bc0…
06-02 08:39:36	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xacfa81…
06-01 10:30:53	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3f68ba…
06-01 10:05:18	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xdbea8f…
05-30 03:57:17	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xfb4a70…
05-30 03:55:18	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb0143c…
05-30 03:48:30	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9010ad…
05-30 03:47:29	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2af867…
05-29 09:54:24	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x337b23…
05-29 09:52:48	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11d702…
05-29 09:51:50	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8237a9…
05-28 09:41:39	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x421402…
05-28 09:41:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x043d0a…
05-28 09:29:18	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x54f9dc…
05-28 09:27:04	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0cf5d1…
05-26 10:25:47	Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x29373c…
05-26 10:11:49	Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1b97b8…
05-25 09:21:13	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x71c6ca…
05-25 09:14:50	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb336f3…
05-22 06:58:33	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x67ee15…
05-22 06:43:33	Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12B by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa7c939…
05-20 01:38:19	Will Trump or Melania say "Movie Star" during the Congressional Picnic?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa4da52…
05-20 01:24:26	Will Trump or Melania say "Movie Star" during the Congressional Picnic?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x874b64…
05-19 00:46:06	Will Trump say "Super Bowl" this week?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xadf2bf…
05-19 00:09:30	Will Trump say "Super Bowl" this week?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe316ce…
05-18 02:00:27	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x933091…
05-18 01:35:49	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f5749…
05-16 00:45:17	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x42e875…
05-16 00:23:53	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd2b51f…
05-15 00:32:39	Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5cd87e…