Realized P&L (90d)
-$223
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
84.9%
Resolved (90d)
117
Trades (90d)
187
552 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$4.04K
$7.06K lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$28
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 10-13 16:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Crypto
85% 86% -$53
Other
13% 82% -$92
Politics
1% 89% +$3
Sports
1% 100% +$5
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 90¢ $8 +$1 10-05 07:47
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +177 $12 4¢ $7 -$5 10-06 00:22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $16 28¢ $6 -$10 10-05 17:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +5 $2 70¢ $4 +$1 05-12 13:31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $6 6¢ $2 -$4 10-05 15:35
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? No +5 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 05-15 09:56
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +5 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 05-12 20:53
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-14 10:21
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-14 21:46
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 $0 05-12 15:24
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +5 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 05-12 15:07
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-15 02:35