Realized P&L
-$134
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
88.0%
Resolved
392
Trades
553
lifetime
Volume
$7.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$21
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 10-13 16:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Crypto
85% 86% -$53
Other
13% 81% -$92
Politics
1% 60% +$4
Sports
1% 100% +$5
Tech
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 92¢ $8 +$2 10-05 07:47
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +177 $12 3¢ $5 -$7 10-06 00:22
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $16 24¢ $5 -$11 10-05 17:12
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +35 $6 3¢ $1 -$5 10-05 15:35
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +5 $0 5¢ $0 $0 05-12 20:53
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Yes +5 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 05-12 15:07
Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 $0 05-13 08:31
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-14 21:46
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-12 15:24
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-14 10:21
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +5 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-15 02:35