Realized P&L (7d)
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
33.8%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
0
1,018 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$31.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$406
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-19 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
70% 30% -$2,083
Sports
25% 42% -$155
Politics
4% 14% -$460
Tech
1% 20% -$53
Crypto
1% 15% -$112
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -136 -$23 76¢ $-104 -$80 06-09 00:08
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes -103 -$12 93¢ $-96 -$84 05-06 15:35
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +87 $60 52¢ $45 -$15 10-19 18:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -183 -$45 19¢ $-35 +$10 05-19 12:53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -340 -$51 9¢ $-29 +$22 05-08 19:44
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -750 -$28 4¢ $-29 -$2 05-04 08:02
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -107 -$11 21¢ $-23 -$12 05-12 22:52
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -20 -$5 78¢ $-16 -$10 05-07 16:45
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -385 -$11 3¢ $-10 +$1 05-19 08:51
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -167 -$16 5¢ $-9 +$7 06-09 00:10
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -97 -$27 4¢ $-4 +$23 05-01 16:48
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -103 -$76 2¢ $-2 +$73 05-20 19:30
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -170 -$10 1¢ $-2 +$8 07-29 17:13
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -596 -$25 0¢ $-1 +$23 05-12 22:52