Immediate-Ring 0xdae3e4…30cf78 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
45.3%
Resolved (90d)
8
Trades (90d)
1
1,018 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$60
$31.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$429
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-19 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
70% 30% -$2,113
Sports
25% 42% -$155
Politics
4% 14% -$460
Tech
1% 20% -$53
Crypto
1% 15% -$112
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -136 -$23 95¢ $-128 -$105 06-09 00:08
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes -103 -$12 99¢ $-103 -$90 05-06 15:35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -183 -$45 18¢ $-33 +$12 05-19 12:53
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +87 $60 38¢ $33 -$27 10-19 18:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -340 -$51 9¢ $-31 +$20 05-08 19:44
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -750 -$28 4¢ $-27 +$0 05-04 08:02
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? Yes -191 -$12 12¢ $-22 -$10 05-07 16:45
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes -20 -$5 80¢ $-16 -$11 05-07 16:45
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -385 -$11 3¢ $-10 +$1 05-19 08:51
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes -167 -$16 5¢ $-9 +$7 06-09 00:10
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -97 -$27 5¢ $-5 +$21 05-01 16:48
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -107 -$11 4¢ $-5 +$7 05-12 22:52
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? Yes -30 -$10 8¢ $-2 +$7 05-06 15:36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -103 -$76 2¢ $-2 +$74 05-20 19:30
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -596 -$25 0¢ $-1 +$24 05-12 22:52
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? Yes -170 -$10 0¢ $-1 +$10 07-29 17:13