Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$289
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
35
lifetime
Volume
$669
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$101
5 positions
First seen
2026-06-09
last 06-15 07:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
92%
Other
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +1,539 $314 $35 $-279 06-14 13:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +167 $30 12¢ $19 $-11 06-10 07:14
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +198 $20 10¢ $19 $-1 06-15 00:30
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +71 $15 20¢ $15 $-0 06-09 14:32
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +100 $10 12¢ $12 +$2 06-09 14:43