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Realized P&L (90d)
+$19
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
62.5%
Resolved (90d)
13
Trades (90d)
81
943 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$178
$13.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$80
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 11-04 10:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
71% 53% +$85
Crypto
19% 54% +$1,058
Politics
5% 45% -$13
Sports
3% 64% +$163
Tech
1% 33% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +59 $3 8¢ $5 +$2 11-03 12:27
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +16 $3 24¢ $4 +$1 10-24 06:24
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +15 $3 22¢ $3 +$1 11-03 10:23
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +21 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 11-03 12:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +16 $3 20¢ $3 +$0 11-03 12:25
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +63 $3 5¢ $3 +$0 11-03 01:24
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +92 $3 3¢ $3 $0 11-04 10:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 11-03 08:25
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +21 $3 14¢ $3 $0 11-03 14:25
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +15 $3 18¢ $3 $0 11-03 14:30
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +78 $3 4¢ $3 $0 11-04 03:09
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $3 12¢ $3 $0 11-03 10:29
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +49 $3 6¢ $3 $0 11-03 08:32
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +141 $3 2¢ $3 $0 11-03 15:10
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +19 $3 14¢ $3 $0 11-03 14:27
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +19 $3 14¢ $3 $0 11-03 12:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +24 $3 11¢ $3 $0 11-03 04:25
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? Yes +33 $3 8¢ $2 $0 11-03 14:32
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +141 $3 2¢ $2 $0 11-03 14:08
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $3 12¢ $2 $0 11-03 08:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +59 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-03 00:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +42 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 11-03 08:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +49 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-03 08:23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +16 $3 14¢ $2 -$1 11-03 00:29
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +60 $3 3¢ $2 -$1 11-03 00:25
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +21 $3 10¢ $2 -$1 11-03 02:27
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +19 $3 11¢ $2 -$1 11-03 06:31
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $3 9¢ $2 -$1 11-03 05:19
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +42 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-03 10:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +22 $3 8¢ $2 -$1 11-03 10:25