Realized P&L
+$1.29K
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved
328
Trades
947
lifetime
Volume
$13.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$88
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-14
last 11-03 19:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
71% 53% +$85
Crypto
19% 54% +$1,058
Politics
5% 45% -$13
Sports
3% 64% +$163
Tech
1% 33% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +59 $3 9¢ $5 +$2 11-03 12:27
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? Yes +33 $3 13¢ $4 +$1 11-03 14:32
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +16 $3 25¢ $4 +$1 10-24 06:24
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +15 $3 22¢ $3 +$1 11-03 10:23
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +21 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 11-03 12:32
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +19 $3 17¢ $3 +$0 11-03 06:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +16 $3 20¢ $3 +$0 11-03 12:25
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +141 $3 2¢ $3 +$0 11-03 15:10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +24 $3 12¢ $3 +$0 11-03 10:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +18 $3 16¢ $3 +$0 11-03 08:25
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +21 $3 14¢ $3 $0 11-03 14:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +16 $3 18¢ $3 $0 11-03 00:29
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +15 $3 18¢ $3 $0 11-03 14:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? Yes +42 $3 6¢ $3 $0 11-03 08:27
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +42 $3 6¢ $3 $0 11-03 10:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? Yes +49 $3 6¢ $3 $0 11-03 08:23
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? Yes +49 $3 6¢ $3 $0 11-03 08:32
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +141 $3 2¢ $3 $0 11-03 14:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +59 $3 4¢ $3 $0 11-03 00:32
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +63 $3 4¢ $3 $0 11-03 01:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +21 $3 12¢ $3 $0 11-03 02:27
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +60 $3 4¢ $3 $0 11-03 00:25
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +19 $3 14¢ $3 $0 11-03 14:27
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $3 14¢ $3 $0 11-03 08:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +24 $3 11¢ $3 $0 11-03 04:25
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? Yes +19 $3 13¢ $2 $0 11-03 12:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +22 $3 11¢ $2 $0 11-03 10:25
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $3 11¢ $2 $0 11-03 05:19
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +37 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 11-03 02:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? Yes +33 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 11-03 10:27