(anonymous) 0xdb4f90…214ea6
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Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
39.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
655
lifetime
Volume
$868
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$33
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 07-04 00:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
68% 0% $-1
Politics
29% 50% +$0
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +16 $15 96¢ $16 +$1 06-24 16:06
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +8 $7 91¢ $7 +$0 06-14 03:09
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +6 $5 72¢ $5 $-0 07-02 09:22
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-18 01:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -2 $-1 100¢ $-2 $-1 05-28 15:28
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 30¢ $2 $-3 06-30 15:01