(anonymous) 0xdb4f90…214ea6
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Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
39.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,049
lifetime
Volume
$1.63K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$39
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 07-21 17:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
69% 0% $-1
Politics
28% 50% +$0
Sports
2% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +19 $17 77¢ $15 $-2 07-13 12:00
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 07-16 07:59
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 07-13 12:06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 06-18 01:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 89¢ $1 $-0 07-16 08:36
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 12¢ $1 $-4 06-30 15:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +56 $5 1¢ $0 $-5 07-10 21:48