Realized P&L (90d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
66.9%
Resolved (90d)
365
Trades (90d)
1,076
2,760 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.58K
$4.48K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$28
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 10-28 16:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
65% 51% -$59
Politics
27% 74% +$16
Sports
7% 47% +$3
Crypto
1% 64% -$7
Tech
0% 60% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Spread: Hawks (-3.5) Heat +7 $4 55¢ $4 +$0 10-28 07:36
Spread: Raptors (-4.5) Raptors — +8 $4 52¢ $4 $0 10-28 07:39
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +4 $3 90¢ $4 +$1 09-02 12:56
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 No +11 $4 26¢ $3 -$1 08-21 11:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2 $2 80¢ $2 $0 09-11 03:17
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +3 $2 61¢ $2 $0 05-25 21:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $0 10-01 09:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 10-24 16:48
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 08-21 11:48
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-28 04:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-27 16:33
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +3 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 10-28 11:17
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? Yes +7 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 08-27 07:32
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 15¢ $1 -$4 06-30 15:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 10-24 10:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 05-13 06:14
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 05-17 20:12
us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696 Yes +9 $4 2¢ $0 -$4 08-21 11:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 05-06 12:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +0 $0 80¢ $0 +$0 10-27 20:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $0 100¢ $0 $0 09-28 16:25