Realized P&L
-$32
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
91.7%
Resolved
123
Trades
160
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$123
Open exposure
$737
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-24 09:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
53% 79% +$137
Tech
19% 91% +$369
Crypto
15% 91% -$74
Sports
7% 62% -$16
Politics
7% 44% -$448
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +292 $291 100¢ $291 +$0 10-18 14:15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +139 $114 91¢ $127 +$13 10-24 09:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? No +82 $78 99¢ $81 +$3 10-05 17:59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +87 $58 88¢ $76 +$18 10-05 18:00
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +84 $58 90¢ $76 +$18 10-05 18:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +73 $58 94¢ $69 +$11 10-05 18:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $15 15¢ $8 -$7 09-05 10:29
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $15 4¢ $4 -$11 09-05 10:29
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +68 $15 4¢ $3 -$12 08-07 07:49
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +53 $20 4¢ $2 -$18 10-05 17:59