Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

129

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$265

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-30

last 09-23 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

43% 22% -$15

Other

37% 20% -$14

Crypto

16% 23% -$6

Sports

2% 25% +$18

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	3	$16	50	50	+0	No	+$12	08-20 18:11
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	2	$14	13	13	+0	No	+$12	07-31 21:53
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 29, 2026?	3	$6	25	25	+0	No	+$2	08-26 13:49
Will Solana reach $120 in September?	3	$6	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	09-18 17:21
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	09-04 06:32
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 25, 2026?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	08-25 02:42
will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	07-22 02:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	4	$3	19	19	+0	open	—	09-23 13:27
total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	2	$3	20	20	+0	No	+$1	07-24 13:47
will iran target a arab country on august 27 2026 20260801004719144	3	$3	34	0	+34	No	-$3	08-19 02:35
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	3	$3	44	0	+44	No	-$3	07-23 02:50
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?	2	$3	7	7	+0	No	+$1	09-23 02:22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	3	$3	13	13	+0	open	—	09-23 13:21
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	09-23 08:47
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	08-24 16:30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	3	$3	9	9	+0	open	—	09-23 13:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 31 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	09-01 08:29
will trump say tough cookie during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255819	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	+$0	07-24 13:47
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	08-26 13:49
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 26, 2026?	2	$2	11	11	+0	No	+$0	08-26 13:49
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$2	333	333	+0	open	—	09-23 13:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	08-26 13:49
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	08-23 08:18
Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	09-18 17:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	07-24 13:48
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	2	$2	23	23	+0	No	+$0	09-23 13:21
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	08-26 13:49
will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 13:48
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$2	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-24 13:48
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?	3	$2	35	35	+0	No	-$2	09-23 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 13:28:43	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xcd3dc1…
09-23 13:28:37	Trump meets with Putin by September 30?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x0be793…
09-23 13:28:31	Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x5f1e43…
09-23 13:28:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xf76721…
09-23 13:28:14	US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x9dfac2…
09-23 13:28:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x427e74…
09-23 13:28:02	Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x38c6e1…
09-23 13:27:56	Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xefb05b…
09-23 13:27:52	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x310e5c…
09-23 13:27:46	Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xa2817e…
09-23 13:27:40	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x38ef58…
09-23 13:27:35	Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xd8f9e9…
09-23 13:27:28	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x352509…
09-23 13:27:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xea6eab…
09-23 13:27:14	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x1d1a19…
09-23 13:27:08	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x19cfe1…
09-23 13:27:01	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x1a9b6e…
09-23 13:26:53	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x83976a…
09-23 13:21:58	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x5ec36f…
09-23 13:21:52	Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x3cb83c…
09-23 13:21:46	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xdb6521…
09-23 13:21:38	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x9c84c5…
09-23 13:21:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xe764c7…
09-23 13:21:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x205dcd…
09-23 13:21:10	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x450b8b…
09-23 13:21:01	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x5460de…
09-23 13:16:29	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x24c138…
09-23 13:16:20	Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x03ad79…
09-23 08:47:31	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x6e8965…
09-23 02:23:28	Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x0de68f…
09-23 02:22:19	Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x2c88b5…
09-22 18:12:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x97e366…
09-22 17:26:57	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xe75d9a…
09-22 08:34:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xac904f…
09-22 02:17:50	will trump say six seven during his ribbon cutting ceremony	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x23588a…
09-21 15:21:51	Will BNB reach $900 in September?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x2f56f5…
09-19 09:29:45	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 21?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x76484f…
09-19 09:29:37	Israel military action against Lebanon on September 20?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x91551f…
09-19 03:42:40	Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0x751652…
09-18 17:22:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x881269…
09-18 17:22:04	Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xf4bac1…
09-18 17:21:52	Will Solana reach $120 in September?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x0d59e1…
09-17 13:27:07	Will Solana reach $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa430a7…
09-14 17:57:01	Will XRP reach $1.80 in September?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x94c4df…
09-14 17:03:48	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x50272e…
09-14 15:16:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x443308…
09-14 15:15:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x238b8f…
09-13 06:02:34	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbe8a66…
09-12 13:02:52	Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x160345…
09-12 10:49:37	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x861ead…
09-11 13:43:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdb0747…
09-11 09:25:24	Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x413830…
09-11 09:24:45	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xba6b04…
09-10 18:11:24	Trump meets with Putin by September 30?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x687a64…
09-10 15:28:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?	Yes	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x091dd5…
09-10 11:46:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x050de2…
09-10 11:44:04	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x246ace…
09-08 18:10:30	Will Solana reach $120 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5d25ca…
09-08 09:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 8?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x67ca89…
09-07 18:24:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe99db8…
09-06 17:43:03	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0478c7…
09-05 16:33:25	Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa20182…
09-05 16:32:28	Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,400?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2ff9eb…
09-05 16:31:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x3a70ef…
09-05 11:50:00	Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x58a81d…
09-05 06:37:22	bitcoin above 80k on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc6de1a…
09-04 22:00:22	will russia target kyiv on september 6 2026	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb35c6b…
09-04 21:59:31	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe43531…
09-04 21:57:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xab1b04…
09-04 21:56:31	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4ff2f9…
09-04 08:33:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x25f93d…
09-04 06:33:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xad776f…
09-04 06:32:33	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x5e9054…
09-04 06:31:49	will ethereum reach 2600 on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6e75b5…
09-03 13:31:03	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x18077f…
09-03 13:30:04	Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xda99ed…
09-03 06:42:54	will iran target an arab country by september 11 2026	No	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xd5d561…
09-03 02:43:31	Will BNB reach $900 in September?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x346096…
09-02 17:53:42	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x802ee7…
09-02 11:40:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x836041…
09-02 09:39:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xca99bc…
09-01 08:29:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x2244b8…
09-01 02:40:31	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x68c96f…
08-31 02:45:07	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa9da6b…
08-31 02:44:09	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc3c55d…
08-31 02:42:57	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase august 25 31 2026	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6a3532…
08-31 02:41:46	Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xfb8922…
08-31 02:39:27	will wti reach 90 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc4852d…
08-30 05:30:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x296929…
08-30 05:30:09	Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in August?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x94be1f…
08-29 10:21:07	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x2586eb…
08-29 10:18:51	will bitcoin reach 79k on august 29 2026	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x7af067…
08-28 13:07:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe0c995…
08-28 06:30:46	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x2887a8…
08-28 02:37:36	Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in August?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$1	0xa6a69d…
08-27 17:25:27	Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x70744c…
08-27 15:35:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xbcb4ed…
08-27 15:34:57	Will XRP reach $1.80 in August?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc9b944…
08-27 09:43:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1a5eed…
08-27 09:41:22	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xdcbb67…