(anonymous) 0xe014e7…cbad33
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Realized P&L
-$212
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
47.8%
Resolved
288
Trades
855
lifetime
Volume
$6.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$378
24 positions
First seen
2026-10-07
last 10-26 01:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
71% 44% -$305
Politics
14% 48% -$41
Sports
14% 56% +$125
Tech
1% 100% +$10
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +44 $40 99¢ $44 +$4 10-24 16:11
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +114 $30 32¢ $36 +$7 10-25 04:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +162 $30 22¢ $36 +$6 10-25 22:06
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +423 $29 7¢ $31 +$2 10-22 07:20
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +250 $20 10¢ $25 +$5 10-22 04:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +71 $30 34¢ $24 -$6 10-22 18:13
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +76 $20 30¢ $22 +$3 10-20 17:22
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +23 $20 94¢ $22 +$2 10-24 16:58
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +287 $25 7¢ $20 -$4 10-21 00:51
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +45 $12 37¢ $17 +$5 10-22 06:02
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 10-25 22:09
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +14 $10 78¢ $11 +$1 10-19 09:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +14 $10 78¢ $11 +$1 10-19 09:21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 10-22 12:41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +15 $10 64¢ $10 +$0 10-20 17:03
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +12 $10 78¢ $10 $0 10-24 13:18
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +18 $10 52¢ $9 -$1 10-25 23:05
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20 $10 45¢ $9 $0 10-19 17:27
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +53 $10 16¢ $8 -$2 10-21 05:25
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +50 $7 12¢ $6 -$1 10-22 23:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +42 $12 9¢ $4 -$8 10-19 16:24
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +2 -$8 22¢ $0 +$8 10-25 21:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +0 -$1 100¢ $0 +$1 10-24 23:52
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +0 $0 87¢ $0 $0 10-24 16:31