Squiggly-Doctrine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

918

lifetime

Volume

$1.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-18 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

83% 100% +$1

Politics

12% 0% $-1

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in miami on april 8 2026 74 75f	2	$48	175	167	+9	open	—	04-08 17:22
highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 11c	2	$26	26	24	+1	open	—	04-12 17:44
highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 23c	2	$24	24	23	+1	open	—	04-10 16:39
highest temperature in istanbul on april 8 2026 16c	2	$24	23	22	+1	open	—	04-08 10:34
highest temperature in nyc on april 3 2026 64 65f	2	$23	21	20	+1	open	—	04-03 23:21
highest temperature in wuhan on april 8 2026 23c	2	$19	18	17	+1	open	—	04-08 16:11
highest temperature in ankara on april 12 2026 8c	2	$17	16	15	+1	open	—	04-12 17:45
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 18c	2	$17	15	14	+1	open	—	04-08 11:12
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 17c	2	$17	16	15	+1	open	—	04-13 10:10
highest temperature in seattle on april 12 2026 56 57f	2	$17	17	16	+1	open	—	04-13 03:57
highest temperature in toronto on april 12 2026 7c	2	$13	12	11	+0	open	—	04-13 04:02
highest temperature in tokyo on april 12 2026 22c	2	$13	12	11	+0	open	—	04-12 17:45
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-14 14:34
highest temperature in beijing on april 8 2026 20c	2	$13	11	11	+0	open	—	04-08 09:48
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 12 2026 21c	2	$12	10	9	+0	open	—	04-12 17:45
highest temperature in busan on april 12 2026 21c	2	$12	11	10	+0	open	—	04-12 17:45
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 12 2026 32c	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-12 17:46
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	2	$11	9	8	+0	open	—	04-14 20:37
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 12 2026 15c	2	$11	10	9	+0	open	—	04-12 17:46
highest temperature in busan on april 15 2026 22c	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	04-15 06:50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	3	$11	11	10	+1	open	—	04-14 04:47
highest temperature in los angeles on april 9 2026 70 71f	2	$10	9	8	+0	open	—	04-10 07:25
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-14 14:34
lowest temperature in london on april 15 2026 11c	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-16 03:07
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 12 2026 26c	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-13 03:58
highest temperature in nyc on april 12 2026 54 55f	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	04-12 21:39
highest temperature in cape town on april 14 2026 23c	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-14 20:38
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-11 18:19
highest temperature in warsaw on april 13 2026 15c	3	$8	12	11	+0	open	—	04-13 04:08
highest temperature in chongqing on april 12 2026 24c	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	04-12 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 17:10:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xb20507…
07-18 17:09:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x2c0d2e…
06-08 06:14:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x54508f…
06-05 02:00:49	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xe2fe25…
06-04 14:02:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xbfe5fc…
06-04 10:41:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x0ca1a2…
06-03 16:56:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x422b7c…
06-03 13:31:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x0895e8…
06-03 13:28:27	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x2c3830…
06-03 13:10:43	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x7d9ff1…
06-03 10:54:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x025d23…
06-03 10:48:18	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb14478…
06-03 10:47:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x2b753f…
06-03 10:46:03	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xa8724a…
06-03 10:07:09	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xba6a71…
06-03 07:48:42	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	No	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xdae2b6…
06-01 07:06:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x314b65…
05-24 18:12:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xdb69cf…
05-24 14:59:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6db460…
05-24 14:59:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3fc6f0…
05-24 14:13:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x0c7741…
05-24 14:09:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x795955…
05-24 14:09:07	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0xd161f7…
05-24 14:08:53	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x93bb8f…
05-24 13:44:05	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc225f9…
05-24 13:39:30	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc2754d…
05-24 13:38:15	Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa28a61…
05-14 09:31:06	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3b1d58…
05-14 09:30:24	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x13b60b…
05-14 09:30:01	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcb14a6…
05-14 09:29:46	Will Trump say "North Korea" or "Kim Jong Un" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5133b0…
05-14 09:29:30	Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2e92ad…
05-14 09:29:12	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x668ad7…
05-14 09:28:58	Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa6a7fb…
05-14 09:28:44	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x979a23…
05-14 09:28:32	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfac29b…
05-14 09:28:08	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x5517e1…
05-14 09:27:50	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x16d457…
05-14 09:27:20	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc3513d…
05-14 09:26:54	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x28d52e…
05-14 09:26:14	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x33a9e1…
05-14 09:24:59	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xb38d63…
05-14 09:24:46	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xa95281…
05-14 09:24:29	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x283589…
05-14 09:24:11	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0aa627…
05-14 09:23:56	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x10071c…
05-14 09:23:29	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x277c93…
05-14 09:23:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x026a63…
05-14 09:22:42	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x202236…
05-14 09:21:44	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa27402…
05-14 09:21:06	Will Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xce264d…
05-14 09:20:54	Will Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x608dc4…
05-14 09:20:40	Will Trump say "World War II" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x61fe6a…
05-14 09:20:24	Will Trump say "Ancient" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x32d9b5…
05-14 09:19:56	Will Trump say "Hottest" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x510f76…
05-14 09:19:38	Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x943bd0…
05-14 09:19:17	Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3033f7…
05-14 09:19:02	Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbca950…
04-24 21:33:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xae1e3c…
04-21 18:08:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6eed0b…
04-16 03:07:40	highest temperature in houston on april 15 2026 82 83f	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x55eeb6…
04-16 03:07:06	lowest temperature in london on april 15 2026 11c	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc3f50e…
04-15 06:50:40	highest temperature in busan on april 15 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xf0c800…
04-15 01:56:28	highest temperature in miami on april 14 2026 80 81f	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x84e40f…
04-14 22:01:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x7f2847…
04-14 21:58:44	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfc4fe1…
04-14 21:56:04	highest temperature in houston on april 15 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x720632…
04-14 21:53:58	highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 72forhigher	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa99307…
04-14 21:52:46	highest temperature in jakarta on april 15 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd774d1…
04-14 21:50:22	highest temperature in jakarta on april 15 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x09e8ec…
04-14 21:47:48	highest temperature in cape town on april 15 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd17340…
04-14 21:47:30	highest temperature in cape town on april 15 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x39177a…
04-14 21:44:14	highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 20corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x95d1a8…
04-14 21:42:50	highest temperature in chongqing on april 15 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xec21b1…
04-14 21:42:32	highest temperature in chongqing on april 15 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8c6484…
04-14 21:41:00	highest temperature in beijing on april 15 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x4ca4e4…
04-14 21:40:38	highest temperature in beijing on april 15 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa0c42d…
04-14 21:36:10	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 15 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb7d03e…
04-14 21:35:50	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 15 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc8e2c2…
04-14 21:33:12	highest temperature in busan on april 15 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe093be…
04-14 21:32:48	highest temperature in busan on april 15 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x3ac079…
04-14 21:30:28	highest temperature in jeddah on april 15 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd0d88a…
04-14 21:30:10	highest temperature in jeddah on april 15 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x86d0de…
04-14 21:27:12	highest temperature in lagos on april 15 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5c9614…
04-14 21:26:48	highest temperature in lagos on april 15 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x87bc41…
04-14 21:22:10	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 15 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x201841…
04-14 21:21:30	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 15 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xa0397b…
04-14 21:17:54	lowest temperature in london on april 15 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xff2501…
04-14 21:17:06	lowest temperature in london on april 15 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x8d3916…
04-14 21:09:14	lowest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbe45f0…
04-14 21:07:18	lowest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 64 65f	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xdb9b32…
04-14 21:06:38	lowest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 66 67f	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x73139d…
04-14 20:38:20	highest temperature in cape town on april 14 2026 23c	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x374847…
04-14 20:37:52	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 17c	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1b7ab3…
04-14 14:34:25	highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 32c	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5a018a…
04-14 14:34:03	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfa0e45…
04-14 04:47:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x386c22…
04-13 23:21:35	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 13 2026 27c	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x78daf7…
04-13 21:13:11	will nasa be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience of the week april 13	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x141db1…
04-13 21:12:51	will hillary or clinton be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience of the week april 13	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x463b2c…