Realized P&L
-$786
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
50.2%
Resolved
1,828
Trades
2,983
lifetime
Volume
$9.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$48
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 07-27 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
96% 30% -$711
Politics
3% 36% -$57
Crypto
1% 26% -$15
Tech
0% 0% -$3
Sports
0% 100% +$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -4 -$3 86¢ $-3 $0 06-05 02:00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -8 -$3 38¢ $-3 $0 06-26 04:51
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -3 -$2 92¢ $-3 -$1 06-03 10:07
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -8 -$4 34¢ $-3 +$2 06-07 05:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -3 -$1 72¢ $-2 -$1 06-03 13:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -2 -$2 96¢ $-2 $0 06-03 13:31
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 06-03 16:56
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No -2 -$2 90¢ $-2 $0 06-03 18:41
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -25 -$4 8¢ $-2 +$2 06-26 04:52
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -2 -$2 88¢ $-2 $0 06-03 16:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -6 -$3 34¢ $-2 +$1 06-05 23:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -6 -$2 32¢ $-2 +$0 06-04 09:20
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$1 84¢ $-2 $0 06-03 13:10
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No -2 -$1 89¢ $-2 -$1 05-24 14:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes -3 -$1 55¢ $-2 -$1 05-24 14:04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -4 -$2 34¢ $-1 +$1 06-05 09:40
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No -1 -$1 82¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 10:49
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes -4 -$1 32¢ $-1 -$1 05-24 14:05
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 06-03 10:47
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 06-03 10:47
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -1 -$1 100¢ $-1 $0 05-24 13:54
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 06-03 10:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No -2 -$1 72¢ $-1 $0 06-03 07:46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -14 -$3 8¢ $-1 +$1 06-27 02:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? No -1 -$1 79¢ $-1 $0 05-24 13:55
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 82¢ $-1 $0 05-24 13:52
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -3 -$1 28¢ $-1 +$0 05-24 13:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3 -$1 18¢ $-1 $0 05-24 14:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$1 06-08 06:14
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -12 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 13:02